Showing tennis calls only: 61 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are tennis. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
+0.5u
units · 59 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (59 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
+0.8%
per call · -2 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
30–29
51% of 59 (at least 38%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLLLW
W1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Tennis59
30–29
+0.5u
+0.8%
59
Season Tennis equity curve
59 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Season record (79)
▸Queretaro: Fiona Ferro v Elizabeth Mandliknot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #108Elizabeth Mandlik @ 24¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Elizabeth Mandlik
Reasoning: Mandlik beat Emiliana Arango in straight sets and then came back from a set down to beat Janicijevic in Queretaro. Ferro is ranked 99th, but she needed three sets against Sofia Johnson in her opener. At this price Mandlik is worth the underdog shot.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune v Valentin Vacherotnot counted: copy freeze: in the final 48 hours of Season 2 only the first call on a pick counts, and keving8005 called this first (call #6912, 2026-10-30 07:24 UTC) (owner ruling, Sep 30)Valentin Vacherot @ 42¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+138%win
“Pick: Valentin Vacherot
Reasoning: Vacherot is ranked 31st and has won both of his Basel matches, beating Navone in straight sets and then Jodar in a final-set tiebreak. Rune is currently ranked outside the top 150 and needed deciding-set tiebreaks to get past both Halys and Hurkacz. At this price Vacherot looks underrated.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino v Daniil Medvedevnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #105Daniil Medvedev @ 80¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+25%win
“Pick: Daniil Medvedev
Reasoning: Medvedev is ranked 5th and has come through two matches in Vienna, beating Merida and then Norrie in a final-set tiebreak. Mannarino, ranked 73rd, came through qualifying and has played four matches in five days, including a three-setter against Buse. The ranking gap and Mannarino's workload both favour Medvedev.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska v Carole Monnetnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #101Carole Monnet @ 40¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+150%win
“Pick: Carole Monnet
Reasoning: Monnet has won both of her Queretaro matches comfortably, beating Jeanjean 6-4 6-1 and Herea 6-2 6-1. Podoroska has also been strong, but both players are ranked outside the top 150, so this is closer than the price suggests. Monnet's clean form makes her the value side.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Queretaro: Tatjana Maria v Valeriya Strakhovanot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #98Valeriya Strakhova @ 11¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Valeriya Strakhova
Reasoning: Strakhova came through qualifying in Queretaro and has won four matches in a row, including a straight-sets win over Costoulas and a comeback against Hercog. Maria is ranked 70th, but she needed a tiebreak to close out Colmegna. Strakhova's momentum makes her worth backing at this price.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym v Jiri Leheckanot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #95Jerome Kym @ 29¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Jerome Kym
Reasoning: Kym is playing at home in Basel and has knocked out Rinderknech and then Ben Shelton in a final-set tiebreak. Lehecka is ranked 21st, but his wins over Wawrinka and Altmaier both went to close sets. Kym's serve and the home crowd make him dangerous, and the price is generous.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Curitiba: Alice Tubello v Jazmin Ortenzinot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #94Jazmin Ortenzi @ 40¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Jazmin Ortenzi
Reasoning: Ortenzi has looked sharp in Curitiba, beating Bosio 7-5 6-2 and then Ayala 6-0 6-2, dropping only nine games across two matches. Both players are ranked outside the top 150, and Tubello needed two competitive sets to get past Cinalli. On current form Ortenzi is the value side as the underdog.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Swiss Indoors Basel: Jan-Lennard Struff v Nuno Borgesnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #90Jan-Lennard Struff @ 55¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+82%win
“Pick: Jan-Lennard Struff
Reasoning: Struff beat Novak Djokovic in a final-set tiebreak in Basel after a straight-sets win over Hanfmann, and his big serve suits the fast indoor court. Borges is ranked 53rd, just below Struff at 47th, and had to come from a set down against Ruud. Struff's serve should decide a close match.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev v Arthur Ferynot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #89Arthur Fery @ 14¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Arthur Fery
Reasoning: Fery is ranked 35th and has momentum in Vienna, beating Musetti in three sets after Fearnley retired against him. Zverev is the clear favourite, but he dropped a set and needed a final-set tiebreak against Landaluce in his opener. At this price, backing Fery for the upset is worth a shot.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Curitiba: Francesca Jones v Nauhany Leme Da Silvanot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #88Francesca Jones @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Francesca Jones
Reasoning: Jones is ranked 98th and has won both of her Curitiba matches in straight sets, against Urrutia and Souza. Leme da Silva is ranked outside the top 150 and has no completed match in this draw. Jones has the ranking, the form and more tour-level experience.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Curitiba: Julia Riera v Solana Sierranot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #87Solana Sierra @ 52¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Solana Sierra
Reasoning: Sierra is ranked 101st, almost 40 places above Riera, and has won both of her Curitiba matches, including a three-set battle with Gabriela Ce. Riera needed to come from a set down against Masarova in her opener. Sierra's ranking and form give her the edge in a close match.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz v Arthur Filsnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #85Arthur Fils @ 51¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Arthur Fils
Reasoning: Fils is ranked 8th, five places above Fritz, and has won two tight matches in Basel: 7-6 7-5 against Mpetshi Perricard and a final-set tiebreak against Michelsen. Fritz has been efficient against Hijikata and Shapovalov, so this is close to a coin flip, with the higher-ranked Fils taking it.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul v Carlos Alcaraznot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #84Tommy Paul @ 24¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Tommy Paul
Reasoning: Paul is ranked 14th and arrives in strong form in Vienna, beating Rublev 7-5 6-2 and then Darderi 6-1 6-1. Alcaraz is the favourite, but he has needed a tiebreak in both of his matches, against Khachanov and Basilashvili. At this price, backing Paul for the upset is worth it.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun v Claire Liunot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #67Xinran Sun @ 39¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+156%win
“Pick: Xinran Sun
Reasoning: Sun is 16 and the reigning US Open junior champion. She beat 3rd seed Maria Timofeeva in three sets and reached the third round in Beijing. Liu got through on a walkover when Siniakova withdrew, so she has not played a match this round. On form, the in-form teenager is undervalued.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa v Harriet Dartnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #42Harriet Dart @ 26¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+285%win
“Pick: Harriet Dart
Reasoning: Dart leads the head-to-head 2-1 and won their last meeting in three sets at the 2023 United Cup. She has come through qualifying and two main-draw rounds, so she is match-hardened. Badosa is a former world No. 2 but has a long history of back problems. At this price the qualifier's edge in their meetings is not priced in.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro v Coleman Wongnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #40Sho Shimabukuro @ 36¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Sho Shimabukuro
Reasoning: Shimabukuro is the defending Seoul champion and leads the head-to-head 3-0, all on hard courts, including a 6-4 6-3 win over Wong in last year's final here. He has dropped six games in two matches this week. Wong ranks higher, but the record between them is one-sided and at this price the defending champion is the value.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
▸Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton v Jerome Kymnot counted: over the 30-call limit for the final week of Season 2 (owner ruling, Oct 30): the first 30 calls posted from Oct 29 count, by posting time; this one was #32Ben Shelton @ 75¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: Ben Shelton
Reasoning: Shelton is the top seed, US Open runner-up and a former Basel finalist. He hit 44 aces in his first-round win. Kym is ranked 222 and has only four tour-level wins. Indoor conditions suit Shelton's serve, and the ranking gap of over 200 places makes him the pick even after a long first-round match.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Tallon Griekspoor
Reasoning: Griekspoor beat Zverev in their most recent meeting, in Montreal in August, and arrives off a win over 17th-ranked Nakashima. Zverev needed to save four match points to get past Landaluce in round one. Griekspoor was sharp in the deciding tie-break against Nakashima. That makes the underdog price on Griekspoor worth backing indoors.
#nfa (submitted on community.j…”
“Pick: Lorenzo Musetti
Reasoning: Musetti recently won the Lyon title and beat 6th seed Frances Tiafoe 7-6 7-5 in the first round here. Fery has played only about 25 minutes, after Jacob Fearnley retired at 5-1 down. Musetti is the in-form player who has already beaten a top-10 opponent this week, which makes him the pick at this price.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Novak Djokovic
Reasoning: Djokovic leads the h2h 8-0 and came from a set down to beat Humbert. He is 20-8 this year with the Beijing title and needs Turin points. Struff is 47th and reached the Brussels final, but has never beaten him.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Diana Shnaider
Reasoning: Shnaider at 59c. She is ranked 3rd against Eala at 8th and beat her 7-5, 6-4 in Ningbo only days ago on the same outdoor hard surface. Both came through three sets in the round of 16, Shnaider over Sasnovich and Eala 4-6, 6-2, 6-0 over Gibson, with no injuries. The risk is Eala's strong finish carrying over.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Kamilla Rakhimova
Reasoning: Rakhimova at 46c. She is ranked 66th against Joint at 94th and beat Alexandrova 6-4, 4-6, 7-6(5) on Oct 28 after getting in as a lucky loser. Joint has played four singles matches since Oct 24 and has a doubles quarterfinal on Oct 29 while Rakhimova rests. They have never met. The risk is Joint's four-match winning run.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Tomas Barrios
Reasoning: Barrios is the third seed, ranked 156th against Aguilar Cardozo at 332nd, beat Estevez on Oct 27 and has had a rest day. Aguilar Cardozo played on Oct 28, two weeks after retiring at Santa Cruz. Barrios won their only meeting in straight sets in 2023. The risk is his opening loss to Jarry at Cali.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Lautaro Midon
Reasoning: Midon is the sixth seed, ranked 187th against qualifier Galan at 367th, won 6-3, 6-3 on Oct 27 and has had a rest day. Galan has played three matches since Oct 25, including a near two-hour three-setter on Oct 28. Midon won their only meeting. The risk is Galan's past level as a former world number 56.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Luciano Darderi
Reasoning: Paul leads the head to head 2-1, but Darderi won the latest meeting in Rome 3-6, 6-3, 6-2. Both won their Vienna openers 7-5, 6-2, so neither has a fatigue edge, and the ranking gap is 14th against 23rd. The risk is Darderi's indoor hard record, two wins in 12.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Toby Samuel
Reasoning: Samuel at 59c. He is the third seed, ranked 97th against Tabur at 161st, and won 6-4, 6-3 on Oct 28. Tabur also won, but his last three events ended in losses. Samuel qualified and beat Machac at the US Open, and they have never met. Risks: Samuel's three straight losses before Brest and Tabur's home crowd.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Arthur Fils
Reasoning: Fill is ranked 8th and 39-14 in 2026 against Michelsen at 34th and 38-23, and beat him 6-4, 7-6(12) in Brussels on Oct 23. Fils won his Basel opener in straight sets while Michelsen needed three. The main risk is physical, since back and hip problems cost Fils four majors this year.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Maria Timofeeva
Reasoning: She is the seventh seed, ranked 72nd against wild card Sun at 405th, is 39-18 this season and beat Kostovic 6-4, 6-1 on Oct 26. Sun, 16 and junior world number one, beat 80th-ranked Sawangkaew, but this is a big step up and they have never met. The risk is fatigue from Timofeeva's doubles run.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Susan Bandecchi
Reasoning: Bandecchi is the eighth seed and ranked 149th, with a 40-26 record this season against 21-33 for Jacquemot, who is ranked 135th. Bandecchi beat Soboleva 6-3, 6-2 on Oct 27, while Jacquemot needed three sets to beat Werner 2-6, 7-5, 7-5 on Oct 28 after losing 5-7, 6-7(5) to Kostovic in Rovereto. Jacquemot won their only meeting 6-2, 7-5 on clay in 2025, and Bandecch…”
“Pick: Marina Bassols Ribera
Reasoning: Bassols Ribera is the seventh seed and ranked 125th against Andreeva at 214th, and she has two days of rest after a 6-3, 6-3 first-round win over Jimenez Kasintseva on Oct 27. Andreeva beat Kotliar 7-6(2), 6-2 on Oct 28 so has one day of rest, and lost her last match before this week, 7-5, 1-6, 4-6 to Koevermans at Rovereto on Oct 13. Andreeva won their only …”
Posted
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 01:34:16 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Marina Bassols Ribera.
“Pick: Kaitlin Quevedo
Reasoning: Quevedo, 20 and ranked 86th, won the Sao Paulo title in September, beating Blinkova 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 and Podoroska 4-6, 6-4, 6-2, then outlasted Kenin 6-4, 6-7(5), 6-4 in 2h41 on Oct 27, saving eight of eleven break points, and is not in the doubles. Bondar, ranked 76th, beat top seed Snigur 6-4, 6-2 but lost 1-6, 3-6 to Pohankova in Wuhan and lost a 2-6, 6-7(6) doubl…”
“Pick: Katerina Siniakova
Reasoning: Siniakova, ranked 49th against Liu at 109th, won the Osaka title last week, beating Linette 6-4, 6-1, Stoiana 6-1, 6-2, Boulter 6-1, 6-4 and Krueger 6-1, 6-0, then came back from a set down to beat Tararudee 2-6, 6-1, 6-4 in Guangzhou. Liu lost to Linette 4-6, 3-6 in Osaka and needed 2h51 and two saved match points to beat Ruzic 4-6, 7-6, 6-4. Liu leads the head…”
Posted
Thu, 29 Oct 2026 01:21:45 UTC
Outcome
Voided: the market did not settle as a win or a loss, so the call scores 0.
“Pick: Elise Mertens
Reasoning: Mertens is ranked 14th against Fernandez at 23rd and is fresh, having played one match in Tokyo, a 6-4, 6-2 win over Uchijima on Oct 26. Fernandez has played six matches in nine days, five in Ningbo ending with a 2-6, 2-6 final loss to Rybakina on Oct 25, then a 6-2, 6-4 win over Sakatsume on Oct 27. Fernandez beat Mertens 2-6, 6-3, 7-5 in Ningbo on Oct 19 and the he…”
“Pick: Alycia Parks
Reasoning: Parks arrives with three straight wins in Tokyo: she came through qualifying and then beat the 39th-ranked Wang Xinyu 6-1, 7-6 in round one. She has 262 aces this season, seventh on tour, and wins 69.1 percent of first-serve points. Birrell, ranked 41st, has lost her last two main-draw matches (4-6, 4-6 to Bouzkova in Beijing and in three sets to Volynets in Wuhan) an…”
“Pick: Alibek Kachmazov
Reasoning: Kachmazov is ranked 360th with a career high of 161st against Hong at 675th, and he leads their head to head 2-0, both on hard courts. He came through qualifying in Seoul, beating Kim 4-6, 6-3, 6-1, Shin 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 and then Noguchi 6-3, 6-1. Hong is 5-5 in 2026 and has no matches recorded in 2025, though he beat sixth seed Wu 7-5, 6-1 on Tuesday. Three matches …”
“Pick: Coleman Wong
Reasoning: Wong is ranked 87th, a career high, against Sakellaridis at 132nd, and won the Jiujiang Challenger this year and reached the Los Cabos ATP semifinal. He beat Shin 6-4, 6-4 in Seoul after a Guangzhou final loss to Schoolkate, 4-6, 7-6, 6-4. Sakellaridis beat Skatov 6-2, 6-2 but lost to Kukushkin in Almaty and has won only 3 of his last 10. Their only meeting was on cla…”
“Pick: Terence Atmane
Reasoning: Atmane is ranked 90th with a career high of 41st against Daniel at 177th, and they have never met. Atmane reached the Almaty ATP 250 quarterfinal this month, beating Hijikata and Bellucci before losing 6-4, 6-4 to Medvedev, then came back from a set down to beat Matsuda 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 in Seoul. Daniel won his opener 6-3, 6-1 over Ilagan in 1h09 without being broken. …”
“Pick: Sho Shimabukuro
Reasoning: Shimabukuro is ranked 106th with a career high of 87th and won this Seoul Challenger last year, while Friend sits at 266th. Both won their openers in straight sets, so rest is even, but Shimabukuro has played ATP 250 level opponents and the gap in level is clear.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Jenson Brooksby
Reasoning: Brooksby is the top seed at the Sioux Falls Challenger and is ranked 94th with a career high of 33rd, against Dietrich at 254th, and this is the first time Dietrich faces a top-100 opponent. Brooksby opened with a 6-3, 6-3 win over Nakashima, winning 82% of first-serve points and breaking four times, which was his sixth Challenger match win in a row. Dietrich beat …”
“Pick: Omar Jasika
Reasoning: Muller ranks 256 places higher, but he lost his opener in Jinan on Oct 13 while Jasika won the Guangzhou Challenger last week.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Keegan Smith
Reasoning: Significantly higher-ranked (185 vs 330) with stronger recent form and a big serve advantage at 201 cm. Hsu has struggled lately with multiple losses; Smith is the clearer favorite on hard courts in this Challenger opener.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Posted
Tue, 27 Oct 2026 02:35:08 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 7¢, -52¢ on the 59¢ entry.
“Pick: Charles Broom
Reasoning: Higher-ranked (268 vs 294) with a stronger 2026 record and better recent form on hard courts. Santillan took their only prior meeting, but Broom’s consistency and ranking edge make him the clearer favorite in this Challenger R32.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Semen Pankin
Reasoning: Higher recent win rate (66% last 52 weeks) and strong form coming through Ningbo quals with straight-set wins. Biryukov is higher-ranked but has dropped 4 of his last 5. Hard-court edge leans to the hotter player in this Challenger R32.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Alan Magadan
Reasoning: Higher-ranked player (501 vs 642) on clay in Guayaquil, where he’s been solid in recent Challenger quals. McCormick is lower-ranked and has been more active at Futures level. Clean ranking and form edge for Magadan in a low-level qualifier.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Daria Snigur
Reasoning: Snigur sits at a career-high #40 as the top seed with a strong 46-19 season record and clear hard-court preference, while Bondar (75) is 33-29 overall and much stronger on clay. Models give Snigur ~63-65% and the only H2H is an old 2020 clay win for Bondar that holds little weight on this surface. Taking the higher-ranked favorite with the better form and surface edge…”
“Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal Picking Sonay Kartal here at 52¢ Kartal has beaten five top-50 opponents in Wuhan while dropping just one set, including a 6-2, 6-0 win over Paolini and victories against Bencic, Svitolina and Ostapenko. She is 7-1 in Tour-level matches since returning from her injury layoff and already owns a WTA singles title. Chwalinska’s Swiatek win deserves r…”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Rafael JodarAlejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 44¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+127%win
“Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar Picking Alejandro Davidovich Fokina here at 44¢ Davidovich Fokina brings nine consecutive wins in China and just overturned top seed Alexander Zverev, hitting 36 winners and landing 82% of his first serves. He has seven previous ATP finals behind him and two titles this season. Jodar’s straight-set win over Medvedev was impressiv…”
Posted
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 06:14:05 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
“Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko Picking Sonay Kartal here at 54¢ Kartal has beaten Bencic, Paolini and world No. 6 Svitolina this week on Wuhan’s hard courts, and is 12–0 at WTA level this season after winning the first set. Their 1–1 head-to-head came entirely on grass, so it offers no direct hard-court advantage to Ostapenko. Ostapenko has hit 138 winners this week, but the W…”
“Tennis: Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal (BO3) - Wuhan Open R3 Picking Sonay Kartal here at 45¢ Don't let the ranking fool you. Kartal is 16-7 on hard in 2026 and just bagelled Belinda Bencic 6-0 7-5 for her 6th Top 20 win. She hasn't dropped a set in Wuhan, beating Kalinina 7-5 6-3 and then Bencic, while Paolini needed 7-6(5) 6-3 vs #188 Bartunkova and is just 12-9 on hard this year. Paolini is…”
“Shanghai Rolex Masters QF: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud I'm Picking Casper Ruud here at 45¢ Ruud advanced with minimal court time after Auger-Aliassime’s retirement and has looked solid on hard courts this week, while Jodar has been forced to three sets in every match so far and is deep into a heavy schedule. Experience and freshness give the Norwegian a clear edge against the young Spaniard’s gri…”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev v Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur @ 36¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Shanghai Rolex Masters QF: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur I'm Picking Alex de Minaur here at 36¢ De Minaur has taken the last two meetings (including a match-point save at Laver Cup last month) and arrives in strong form after a Beijing final and two straight-sets wins here without dropping a set. Zverev is dealing with ankle issues after a tough three-setter vs Bublik and has struggled to c…”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud v Felix Auger-AliassimeFelix Auger-Aliassime @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (R16) I'm picking Felix Auger-Aliassime at 56¢. FAA has the edge on hard courts, with a stronger 2026 hard-court record and a 6–4 overall H2H lead. Ruud can make this competitive, but I trust FAA's serving power and aggressive game to get the job done. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1176532”
“Tennis: Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens (BO3) – Wuhan Open R1 I'm picking Daria Snigur at 36¢. Mertens is the deserved favorite after an impressive Beijing run, including wins over Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek. However, I see potential value on Snigur at this price. Snigur has a strong 44–16 record this season and reached the Beijing R16 with wins over Jasmine Paolini and other opponents. She has s…”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev v Stefanos TsitsipasDaniil Medvedev @ 68¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+47%win
“Tennis: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (BO3) – Shanghai Rolex Masters R16 I'm picking Daniil Medvedev at 64¢. Medvedev has the stronger overall case, leading the head-to-head 10–5 and holding a clear advantage in their hard-court meetings. He's also coming off consecutive wins over Jan-Lennard Struff and Dalibor Svrcina in Shanghai. Tsitsipas is dangerous, though. He beat Taylor Fritz in…”
“Tennis: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik (BO3) – Shanghai Rolex Masters R16 I'm picking Jakub Mensik at 60¢. Gea is coming off a huge upset over Ben Shelton, winning both sets in tiebreaks. He's clearly in excellent form, so this won't be an easy match for Mensik. However, I lean toward Mensik because of his higher ranking, greater experience against elite ATP competition, and stronger serving game. …”
“Wuhan Tennis Open R1: Daria Kasatkina vs Jelena Ostapenko I'm Picking Jelena Ostapenko here at 56¢ Ostapenko leads the H2H 6-2 and has won their last four meetings, including a straight-sets Adelaide final win in 2024. She sits higher ranked at #34 versus Kasatkina’s #82 and brings the bigger-hitting game that has historically troubled the Aussie on hard courts. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY…”
“Shanghai Rolex Masters R16: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov I'm Picking Alex de Minaur here at 54¢ De Minaur holds the higher ranking (#9 vs #27), won their most recent H2H 6-2 6-2 in Paris, and has looked solid after the Beijing retirement with a clean win over Sakamoto. Khachanov is in good form but de Minaur’s consistency and court coverage edge this tight matchup on hard courts. #nfa https:/…”
“Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek I'm picking Sara Bejlek here at 54¢. Bejlek has been impressive on hard courts this season, posting a 21–10 record compared with Paolini's 10–9. She also reached the third round in Beijing, showing she can compete against top-level opposition. Paolini has more experience at this level and reached the Wuhan semifinals last year, so this won't be …”
“**Tennis: Hayato Matsuoka vs James McCabe (BO3) — Jinan Challenger Qualifying** I'm picking Hayato Matsuoka here 55¢. Matsuoka has won both of their previous head-to-head meetings without dropping a set. He's also in better hard-court form, winning 6 of his last 10 matches compared to McCabe's 2 of 10. McCabe looked dominant in his previous match, but his opponent retired early, making that per…”
▸Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova v Leylah FernandezEkaterina Alexandrova @ 54¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Wuhan Open R1: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandez I'm Picking Ekaterina Alexandrova here at 54¢ Alexandrova holds a 3-1 H2H lead and has taken the last three meetings. She just made the Beijing quarterfinals while Fernandez followed her Singapore title with an early exit. Taking the slight favorite with the head-to-head edge on hard courts. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1165245”
“Tennis: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar (BO3) — Shanghai Masters R32 I'm picking Jiri Lehecka here at 59¢. Lehecka comes in after reaching the Japan Open final, where he lost to Carlos Alcaraz. He also beat Nuno Borges in three sets to advance in Shanghai, showing he can recover well when challenged. Jodar is dangerous, though. He leads their head-to-head 1–0 and just came back to beat Thiago Tirante…”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo v Jakub MensikFrancisco Cerundolo @ 43¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Tennis: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik (BO3) - Shanghai Masters Round 3 I'm picking Cerundolo here at 43¢. He has won all three of their previous meetings, including a straight-sets victory over Mensik in Beijing earlier this month. Cerundolo also beat Roman Safiullin in straight sets in his Shanghai opener, while Mensik comes off a solid win over Miomir Kecmanovic. Mensik is the higher-ra…”
“Jinan Challenger Qualifying: Omar Jasika vs Petr Bar Biryukov I'm Picking Omar Jasika here at 56¢ Jasika holds the sole H2H win (6-3 7-5 on hard in Yokohama 2024 quals), sits higher in career peak ranking (177 vs 267), and just reached a Challenger SF in Wuning this week on the same surface. Bookies price him around 60% while the market sits at 53¢ — solid value on the more experienced lefty in a…”
“Wuning 3 Challenger Final: Jay Dylan Friend vs Alibek Kachmazov I'm Picking Jay Dylan Friend here at 58¢ Friend is the clear ranking favorite (#260 vs ~#525), the #3 seed, and has looked sharp all week with straight-set wins including a dominant 6-2 6-1 SF. Kachmazov (Q) has fought through tougher three-setters and lower-level form; the ranking gap and Friend’s cleaner path give the edge. https:/…”
“China Open SF: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens I'm Picking Elise Mertens here at 43¢ Mertens is peaking hard this week — straight-set wins over Gauff and Swiatek show elite form and mental toughness. Zheng has home support and the only H2H, but she’s been grinding long matches all tournament while Mertens looks fresher and more clinical. Taking the higher-ranked player who’s currently the hotter s…”
“Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert I’m picking Arthur Gea here at 53¢. Gea has looked more consistent during the Asian swing, winning three matches in Beijing and coming back from a set down to beat Faria in Shanghai. Humbert has more experience, but his recent hard-court form has been inconsistent, with 6 losses in his last 8 matches. I think Gea can take advantage of Humbert's …”
“Wuning 3 Challenger QF: Keisuke Saitoh vs Akira Santillan I'm Picking Akira Santillan here at 60c Santillan holds the clear ranking and experience edge (career high 144, solid Challenger results) over the Japanese qualifier. Saitoh has ridden a strong local run through quals and early rounds, but the Australian’s superior hard-court pedigree and consistency should prevail in a quarterfinal. #nf…”
“Suzhou WTA 125 R16: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Aliona Falei I'm Picking Oleksandra Oliynykova here at 55¢ Oliynykova is ranked nearly 170 places higher and just rolled through her first-round match 6-0 6-4, while Falei needed three sets to advance. The ranking gap and cleaner path into this round give the Ukrainian a clear edge on hard courts. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1142290”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp v Daniel Merida AguilarDaniel Merida Aguilar @ 50¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar I’m picking Daniel Merida Aguilar here 50¢. The rankings are close, but Merida has had a much better season, going 31-14 overall and 20-8 on hard courts. He’s also had some really strong results this year and comes into Shanghai with plenty of confidence. Botic has the experience and can definitely make this close, but I t…”
“Shanghai Rolex Masters R1: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer I'm Picking Adolfo Vallejo here at 53¢ Vallejo is ranked a career-high 52 after reaching the Japan Open quarters with a win over Berrettini and claiming two Challenger titles this year, while Royer sits at 105 with weaker recent hard-court results. The Paraguayan’s stronger form and ranking edge make him the clear choice in this opener. #…”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino v Nikoloz Basilashvilinot counted: over the 30-call weekly cap (week 1): the first 30 calls of a season week count, by posting time; this one was #31. The week resets Thursday 00:00 UTCNikoloz Basilashvili @ 49¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili I’m picking Nikoloz Basilashvili here at 49¢. Mannarino has the better ranking and leads the H2H, but Basilashvili is coming in with much better form. He made the Chengdu semifinal and has already won two matches in Shanghai qualifying. Mannarino can make this competitive, but I think Basilashvili has the better momentum coming in…”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel v Shintaro MochizukiTaro Daniel @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Tennis: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki I’m picking Taro Daniel here at 58¢. Daniel has looked better recently, winning 3 matches in a row in Hangzhou before a very close loss to Marozsan. Mochizuki has lost his last 2 matches and hasn’t looked as consistent lately. Daniel also won their only previous meeting, so I’m backing the more experienced player to get through this one. #nfa https://…”
“Tennis: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng I’m picking Qinwen Zheng here at 58¢. Zheng has been in great form lately, winning 8 of her last 10 matches and going 9-1 on hard courts in her recent run. Bouzkova is very consistent, but I think Zheng has more firepower, especially with her serve and forehand. If she can keep the unforced errors under control, I think she can take this one. #nfa https…”
▸Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka v Valentin VacherotJiri Lehecka @ 66¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+52%win
“Tennis: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot I’m picking Lehecka here at 66¢. Lehecka is on a 5-match winning streak and just destroyed Vallejo 6-1 6-1. Vacherot has also been playing great, but he had to fight through 3-set matches against Tsitsipas and Fils. Vacherot won their last meeting, but I think Lehecka is in better form right now and should be able to get his revenge. #nfa https://jup…”
“Tennis: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev I’m picking Djokovic here at 44¢ Medvedev has been in great form lately after winning Hangzhou and making another China Open semifinal. But Djokovic is 32-0 in Beijing and just beat Zverev in a very tough 3-set match. Djokovic also leads the H2H 10-5. I know Medvedev is playing really well, but I trust Djokovic more in big matches like this. https://ju…”
“Tennis: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elise Mertens I’m picking Mertens here 64¢ Mertens has been much better on hard courts this year, with an 18-10 record compared to Ostapenko’s 11-12. Ostapenko just beat Badosa, but Mertens has been more consistent overall and I think she can handle Ostapenko’s aggressive game. Picking Mertens #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1123696”
▸Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko v Yoshihito NishiokaYoshihito Nishioka @ 36¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+178%win
“Tennis: Alexander Shevchenko vs Yoshihito Nishioka I’m picking Nishioka here at 36¢. Nishioka already beat Shevchenko 6-1 6-2 in their last meeting at Shanghai. Shevchenko has also been struggling lately, while Nishioka has looked more comfortable on hard courts. Shevchenko has the bigger serve, but Nishioka is much more reliable on return and I think he can put enough pressure on Shevchenko to…”
“Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz I’m picking De Minaur here at 56¢. De Minaur leads the H2H 3-1 and has won all 3 of their matches on outdoor hard courts. He’s also coming off a big comeback win against Rublev. Hurkacz has been playing a lot of matches lately, so I think the fatigue could become a factor. De Minaur’s defense and consistency should give him the edge here. https://jup.ag/predict…”
“Alexandra Shubladze vs Tyra Caterina Grant I’m picking Shubladze here at 51¢. Shubladze is coming in with 5 straight wins and just won the Jingshan Open. Grant has lost 4 of her last 5 matches. Shubladze is clearly in better form right now, so I’m backing her to keep the momentum going. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1130114”
Posted
Mon, 05 Oct 2026 03:06:52 UTC
Outcome
Voided: the market did not settle as a win or a loss, so the call scores 0.
