JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Ningbo: Yu-Hsiou Hsu v Keegan Smith
Keegan Smith
ENTRY
59¢
SOLD AT
7¢
CALLER
@nexasxw
PLACED
2026-10-27 · 02:35 UTC
Nº 0006459R
LOSS
-88%
456381530799
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #6459 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Ningbo: Yu-Hsiou Hsu v Keegan Smith
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“Pick: Keegan Smith Reasoning: Significantly higher-ranked (185 vs 330) with stronger recent form and a big serve advantage at 201 cm. Hsu has struggled lately with multiple losses; Smith is the clearer favorite on hard courts in this Challenger opener. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
nexasxw on community.jup.ag
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Keegan Smith @ 59¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 7¢
Resolved · caller’s sale
Closed early by the caller at 7¢, -52¢ on the 59¢ entry.
-0.88uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 7¢)
Verification details
- Submission id
1564467456381530799(submitted on this site, not posted in Discord)- Market
POLY-1250691jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- submitted on community.jup.ag; event "Ningbo: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan Smith"; entry 59¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- closed early via #close (msg 1564511576674825178, posted 2026-10-27T05:30:27.098Z): entry 59c -> exit 7c (-52.0c realized); trade tape at the close: taker bought the other outcome at 94c, which is this one sold at 6c, 13s from the post; re-read Oct 28: the form close ran before the trade feed caught up and took the newest print it could see, a 6c print 13s before the close; the side sold at 7c 12s and 3s before the close; "#close"
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#6459), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Ningbo: Yu-Hsiou Hsu v Keegan Smith
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Keegan Smith @ 59¢
- Resolution
- caller’s sale (closed early)
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