Showing basketball calls only: 18 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are basketball. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-0.8u
units · 18 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (18 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-4.4%
per call · +8 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
8–10
44% of 18 (at least 25%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLLWW
W2 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Basketball18
8–10
-0.8u
-4.4%
18
Season Basketball equity curve
18 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Combos (9)
A combo is one 1u bet that wins only if every leg wins (a void leg drops out). It counts in the totals above like any other call. Up to 15 combos count each week, and each one uses one of the 30 weekly calls.
▸Combo · 2 legs22.04¢ · win pays +3.54uJazz · Nuggets-1.00uLost
counts: combo 12 of 15 in week 4
Leg 1Jazz @ 38¢Grizzlies v Jazz · NBAlostdecided it
“Pick: Jazz
Reasoning: The Jazz have a real reason to push for a comeback: they began the season with a loss to Memphis, beat New Orleans by one point, and then lost to the Lakers. also they got Number 2 overall draft pick
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“Pick: Timberwolves
Reasoning: wolves are playing at Home, where the crowd can help the team build momentum. The Wolves went 26–15 at home last season, they can use familiar environment to establish its defensive intensity early and avoid allowing Toronto to dictate the pace.
#nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
“NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1208442 Pick: rocket @ 48¢ reasoning: Houston scored 128 points against Dallas and 114 against San Antonio. Those results show a promising offensive start, A strong opening quarter could put Atlanta under pressure to chase the score, just like they did with the spurs. #nfa”
“NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) reasoning: Against Miami, Minnesota made 21 three-pointers, compared with Miami's eight. Edwards hit nine threes, while Ball added five. those are Rookie Numbers in this racket. Forecast: wolves 49c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1202603 #nfa”
“NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) reasoning: i Minnesota has a realistic chance to win because of its explosive backcourt, three-point shooting and ability to push the pace. Plus ant averaged 28.8 points per game last season. He can score from three-point range Forecast: wolves 47c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1191459 #nfa”
“NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) reasoning: Wembanyama averaged approximately 25 points, 11.5 rebounds and 3.1 blocks per game last season, and won Defensive Player of the Year. mfer is alien 👽. last season OKC couldn't find a solution to wemby, this season OKC drafted Mara to stop(wemby) and solve one of their biggest night mare. tonight we would find out. Forecast: s…”
“NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) reasoning: Detroit won three of the four regular-season meetings between the teams last season, Detroit ranked 28th in total three-pointers made last season. Forecast: Pistons 49c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1185700 #nfa”
Posted
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 08:44:36 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 47¢, -2¢ on the 49¢ entry.
“NBA Stage: 2027 champion Confidence: 🟠 high risk (75%) reasoning: 76ers might win the championship if: Embiid stays healthy, Maxey continues playing at an All-NBA level, Brown delivers in big games, and LeBron successfully connects the offense. Forecast: 76ers 10c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-478277 #nfa”
Posted
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 08:14:43 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 10.9¢, +0.9¢ on the 10¢ entry.
“NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) reasoning: The 76ers defeated the Knicks 120–97 on October 5. 76ers have already experienced some success against this opponent and can study what worked. Forecast: 76ers 38c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1185701 #nfa”
“NBA Stage: Pre Season Confidence: 🟠 mid risk (75%) reasoning: knick need a confidence boost after four straight preseason losses New York entered this game with an 0–4 preseason record. Their latest defeat was a 148–98 loss to Toronto, although the Knicks rested their regular starters in that game. A stronger performance against Toronto's rotation would help them build confidence before the r…”
