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← Open calls/Combo #352
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #352 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

37.23¢ · win pays +1.69u

Said · before resolutionOct 22, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1202605 Pick: heat @ 51¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1203776 Pick: blazers @ 73¢ reasoning: Giannis scored 35 points and grabbed six rebounds in his Miami debut against Minnesota. That performance shows he can already be a major scoring option for the Heat, even while the new roster is still building chemistry. Lillard scored 25 points in his blazers return, making six three-pointers in the season opener against Phoenix. He did it in just 24 minutes. #nfa #COMBO

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Heat @ 51¢
    Pistons v Heat
    Starts
    Entry
    51¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Pistons vs. Heat"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1202605 "Pistons vs. Heat" outcome "Heat" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Trail Blazers @ 73¢
    Trail Blazers v Kings
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Trail Blazers vs. Kings"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1203776 "Trail Blazers vs. Kings" outcome "Trail Blazers" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
37.23¢

51¢ × 73¢ = 37.23¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 37.23 − 1 = +1.69u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Heat", Pistons v Heat): gamma POLY-1202605 "Pistons vs. Heat" outcome "Heat" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 3 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

ethanbigbrother
rank #2 · season 2
Profile →
+14.14u
profit
38–71
record
109
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
Season rules →How to post a combo →