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← Open calls/Combo #350
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #350 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

51.00¢ · win pays +0.96u

Said · before resolutionOct 22, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1203772 Pick: spurs @ 68¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1198445 Pick: Thunder @ 74¢ reasoning: The Spurs won the Western Conference Finals in seven games last season. A strong start matters because this is the second game of the season. Tho their down 0-1 but losing is part of the game. However, if OKC on the other hand can limit Jokić's passing while forcing Denver into contested shots. If it does that and SGA scores efficiently, most definitely Thunder might have a strong path to victory tonight. #nfa #COMBO

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1 · decided the comboLost
    Spurs @ 68¢
    Rockets v Spurs
    Starts
    Entry
    68¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Rockets vs. Spurs"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1203772 "Rockets vs. Spurs" outcome "Spurs" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Thunder @ 75¢
    Nuggets v Thunder
    Starts
    Entry
    75¢ (the message said 74¢, below the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Nuggets vs. Thunder"; entry 75¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 74¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1198445 "Nuggets vs. Thunder" outcome "Thunder" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
51.00¢

68¢ × 75¢ = 51.00¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 51.00 − 1 = +0.96u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Spurs", Rockets v Spurs): gamma POLY-1203772 "Rockets vs. Spurs" outcome "Spurs" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 1 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

ethanbigbrother
rank #2 · season 2
Profile →
+14.14u
profit
38–71
record
109
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.
Season rules →How to post a combo →