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← Open calls/Combo #424
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #424 · Season 2

Combo · 6 legs

26.81¢ · win pays +2.73u

Said · before resolutionOct 25, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Kings v Spurs: Spurs 2. Hawks v Rockets: Rockets 3. Suns v Thunder: Thunder 4. Bulls v Celtics: Celtics 5. Mavericks v Heat: Heat 6. Clippers v Thunder: Thunder Reasoning: Boston's victory over New York was particularly encouraging because the Knicks cut the lead to one point late in the fourth quarter. The Celtics responded with important scoring and defensive plays to close out the game. Oklahoma City has a strong opportunity to extend its unbeaten start. The Thunder have already beaten San Antonio 116–104 and Denver 96–84. San Antonio collected 15 offensive rebounds and outscored Dallas 25–10 in second-chance points. That was a major move. Offensive rebounds give the Spurs additional chances to score, while defensive rebounds stop opponents from extending possessions. Miami has an urgent reason to target this victory: the Heat are 0–3 after losing their first three regular-season games. so Giannis definitely got to try harder to win this match. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

ethanbigbrother on community.jup.ag
Entered · 6 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Spurs @ 82¢
    Kings v Spurs
    Starts
    Entry
    82¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Kings vs. Spurs"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 82¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 28, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1226979 "Kings vs. Spurs" outcome "Spurs" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Rockets @ 70¢
    Hawks v Rockets
    Starts
    Entry
    70¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Hawks vs. Rockets"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 70¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 27, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1220875 "Hawks vs. Rockets" outcome "Rockets" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3Won
    Thunder @ 85¢
    Suns v Thunder
    Starts
    Entry
    85¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Suns vs. Thunder"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 85¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 27, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1220874 "Suns vs. Thunder" outcome "Thunder" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Celtics @ 86¢
    Bulls v Celtics
    Starts
    Entry
    86¢
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Bulls vs. Celtics"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 86¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 27, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1220871 "Bulls vs. Celtics" outcome "Celtics" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  5. Leg 5 · decided the comboLost
    Heat @ 71¢
    Mavericks v Heat
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢
    How it was priced
    leg 5: event "Mavericks vs. Heat"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 71¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 27, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1220872 "Mavericks vs. Heat" outcome "Heat" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  6. Leg 6Won
    Thunder @ 90¢
    Clippers v Thunder
    Starts
    Entry
    90¢
    How it was priced
    leg 6: event "Clippers vs. Thunder"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 90¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 26, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1215093 "Clippers vs. Thunder" outcome "Thunder" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
26.81¢

82¢ × 70¢ × 85¢ × 86¢ × 71¢ × 90¢ = 26.81¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 26.81 − 1 = +2.73u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 27, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 5: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 5 ("Heat", Mavericks v Heat): gamma POLY-1220872 "Mavericks vs. Heat" outcome "Heat" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 8 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

ethanbigbrother
rank #2 · season 2
Profile →
+14.14u
profit
38–71
record
109
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.