← Leaderboard/Call #5613

JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2

VERIFIED CALL

Celtics v Pistons

Pistons

ENTRY

49¢

SOLD AT

47¢

CALLER

@ethanbigbrother

PLACED

2026-10-18 · 08:44 UTC

Nº 0005613R

LOSS

-4%

946536644659

COMMUNITY.JUP.AG

Post on XSave

LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #5613 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Celtics v Pistons

Said · before resolutionOct 18, 08:44 UTC · timestamped in Discordevent started Oct 20, 19:00 UTC

“NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) reasoning: Detroit won three of the four regular-season meetings between the teams last season, Detroit ranked 28th in total three-pointers made last season. Forecast: Pistons 49c, https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1185700 #nfa”

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Pistons @ 49¢

flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way · closed early at 47¢

ResolvedOct 20, 08:15 UTC · caller’s sale

Closed early by the caller at 47¢, -2¢ on the 49¢ entry.

-0.04uat a 1-unit stake (sold at 47¢)

Verification details

Message id: 1561298946536644659 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market: POLY-1185700 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note: auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Celtics vs. Pistons"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Graded via: closed early via #close (msg 1562015461586108479, posted 2026-10-20T08:11:46.886Z): entry 49c -> exit 47c (-2.0c realized); no trade within 2min of the close; series interpolated between 47.5c at 08:11:22 and 47.5c at 08:12:22; "#close reasoning: Celtic has a lot of 3 point shooters, i don't see how they gonna make it with Tobias gone now, on a f" | RE-PRICED from the trade tape once it indexed: exit 47.5c -> 47c (taker bought the other outcome at 53c, which is this one sold at 47c, 67s from the post)

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5613), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

ethanbigbrother

rank #2 · season 2

Profile →

+14.14u

profit

38–71

record

109

graded

form · last 10

The market

Celtics v Pistons

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Jupiter trade: No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
Starts: Oct 20, 19:00 UTC
Ask at post: Pistons @ 49¢
Resolution: caller’s sale (closed early)

Open the market ↗