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← Open calls/Combo #351
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #351 · Season 2

Combo · 2 legs

25.08¢ · win pays +2.99u

Said · before resolutionOct 22, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

NBA Stage: Regular season Confidence: 🟠 low risk (35%) https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1197295 Pick: 76ers @ 57¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1202600 Pick: knicks @ 44¢ reasoning: I think if 76ers could balance the ball between James, Maxey, Brown and Embiid. Four prominent players need touches, and good spacing and unselfish passing will be essential for their 2 wins in a a row tonight. For Knicks Brunson main creator and one of their most important game scorers. He averaged 26.0 points and 6.8 assists per game last season. That's dope af. #nfa #COMBO

ethanbigbrother in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    76ers @ 57¢
    Cavaliers v 76ers
    Starts
    Entry
    57¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Cavaliers vs. 76ers"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 23, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1197295 "Cavaliers vs. 76ers" outcome "76ers" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2 · decided the comboLost
    Knicks @ 44¢
    Knicks v Celtics
    Starts
    Entry
    44¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Knicks vs. Celtics"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 24, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1202600 "Knicks vs. Celtics" outcome "Knicks" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
25.08¢

57¢ × 44¢ = 25.08¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 25.08 − 1 = +2.99u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 24, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Knicks", Knicks v Celtics): gamma POLY-1202600 "Knicks vs. Celtics" outcome "Knicks" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

ethanbigbrother
rank #2 · season 2
Profile →
+14.14u
profit
38–71
record
109
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.