Showing tennis calls only: 22 counted. The weekly cap and qualification are judged on the whole season; a combo shows here when all its legs are tennis. Form covers every call.
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-4.77u
units · 22 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (22 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-21.7%
per call · -8 pts vs odds
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
11–11
50% of 22 (at least 31%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
LLLLL
L6 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Tennis22
11–11
-4.77u
-21.7%
22
Season Tennis equity curve
22 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
Combos (5, 4 counted)
A combo is one 1u bet that wins only if every leg wins (a void leg drops out). It counts in the totals above like any other call. Up to 15 combos count each week, and each one uses one of the 30 weekly calls.
▸Combo · 3 legs23.66¢ · win pays +3.23uHubert Hurkacz · Novak Djokovic · Alex de Minaur-1.00uLost
counts: combo 12 of 15 in week 4
Leg 1Hubert Hurkacz @ 65¢Hubert Hurkacz v Holger Rune · ATP · Swiss Indoors Basellostdecided it
Leg 2Novak Djokovic @ 70¢Novak Djokovic v Ugo Humbert · ATP · Swiss Indoors Baselwon
Leg 3Alex de Minaur @ 52¢Learner Tien v Alex de Minaur · ATP · Erste Bank Openwon
“ATP Shanghai Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz My pick: Novak Djokovic Win @ 65¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1153192 Djokovic arrives after winning the Beijing title and has historically matched up well against Hurkacz. #nfa”
▸China Open: Qinwen Zheng v Elina Svitolinanot counted: no real market: nothing has traded here (the book quotes 9¢ against 98¢ and the price is still the untraded placeholder), so the entry cannot be tested against anythingElina Svitolina -2.5 games @ 98¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Elina Svitolina vs Qinwen Zheng My pick: Elina Svitolina -2.5 Games @ 49¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1148992 Svitolina has looked sharp in Beijing, bringing consistency and strong court coverage into this quarterfinal. Zheng is a dangerous opponent, especially on home soil, so it won’t be straightforward, but I’m backing Svitolina to win by at least three games. #nfa”
“Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrčina My pick: Cameron Norrie Win @ 62¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1143739 Norrie has the ranking, experience, and level advantage here, while Svrčina has already done well just reaching the main draw through qualifying. I expect the underdog to compete, but Norrie’s experience at this level should be enough to get him through. #nfa”
“Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova My pick: 1st Set Over 9.5 Games @ 47¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1143567 Muchova brings experience and variety, but Bartunkova has already shown she can attack aggressively against elite opposition. With both players capable of holding serve and extending rallies, I expect the opening set to stay competitive and reach at least 10 games. #nfa”
“Jaume Munar vs Jenson Brooksby My pick: Jaume Munar Win @ 62¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1136516 Munar comes in with strong momentum after his Tokyo run, including wins over Fritz and a competitive battle with Alcaraz. Brooksby has been less active recently, while Munar’s consistency and ability to grind through long rallies give him the edge on these hard courts. #nfa”
“Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic My pick: Arthur Fery Win @ 61¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1136511 Fery has the stronger recent season and should have the sharper match rhythm heading into Shanghai. Cilic is always dangerous, but after the long layoff, I’m backing the younger Fery to take advantage and get the win. #nfa”
“Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac My pick: Tomas Machac Win @ 71¢ Machac is the clear side for me here with the ranking advantage and a 2-0 head-to-head record against Zhang. The market also strongly favors him, and I expect his superior level to show on the Shanghai hard court. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1136509 #nfa”
“Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens My pick: Coco Gauff -4.5 Games @ 58¢ Gauff has dominated this matchup and has the clear edge in class, athleticism, and consistency. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1137929 Mertens has already spent plenty of energy in Beijing, while Gauff should be fresh and motivated, so I expect Coco to control the match and cover the -4.5 handicap. #nfa”
“Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1136329 My pick: Iga Swiatek Win @ 66¢ Jovic is 0-7 against Top-10 opponents this year, while Swiatek has the clear edge in serve, return and overall level. I expect Iga to control the rallies and get the win. #nfa”
“Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur My pick: Novak Djokovic Win @ 64¢ Djokovic is 33-0 in Beijing and is chasing his 7th China Open title. He came back to beat Zverev before leading Medvedev 7-5, 5-3 in the semifinal when Medvedev was disqualified. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138100 De Minaur is in great form and reached the final after Hurkacz retired, so this won't be easy. But Djokovic…”
“Tennis Prediction: China Open Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Naomi Osaka win @ 43¢ Osaka already looked solid in Beijing, and I like her hard court game to trouble Muchova in this matchup. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1133774 #nfa”
“China Open — ATP 500 | Semifinal Alex de Minaur vs Hubert Hurkacz De Minaur has won three of their four meetings and all three of his wins over Hurkacz have come on outdoor hard courts. Both players have had demanding runs in Beijing, but De Minaur’s consistency and ability to pressure Hurkacz on return could be the difference. At 59¢, I’m backing the Australian to reach the final. pick: Ale…”
“ATP 500 | Semifinal Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev My pick: Daniil Medvedev to WIN @ 56¢ Medvedev comes into this semifinal in excellent form, riding a seven match winning streak and still unbeaten in sets during his Beijing run. Djokovic is 32–0 at the China Open and just produced a huge comeback against Zverev, but that three set battle could leave him with less in the tank. I like Medved…”
“WTA 1000 | Round 3 Belinda Bencic vs Ann Li My prediction - - Ann Li +3.5 Games @ 2.07 Li has been playing well on hard courts and comes into Beijing with a strong recent run, including a straight sets win over Ashlyn Krueger. She has also beaten Bencic before, so I expect her to make this competitive again. With the +3.5-game cushion, I’m backing Li to stay within the handicap. https://jup.a…”
“WTA 1000 | Round 3 Jelena Ostapenko vs Elise Mertens I pick: Elise Mertens to WIN @ 64¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1123696 Mertens has been the more consistent hard court player this season, and her steadier baseline game gives her a good matchup against Ostapenko. Ostapenko has plenty of firepower and just beat Badosa, so I’m not treating this as easy. #nfa”
“China Open https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1125088 WTA Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Qinwen Zheng to WIN @ 58¢ Zheng has been playing well on hard courts and comes in with strong recent form. With the Beijing crowd behind her and her aggressive baseline game, I expect her to have enough firepower to get through Bouzkova. #nfa”
“Sara Bejlek vs Naomi Osaka Osaka has the bigger weapons and far more experience in these high-level matches. Bejlek has been impressive this season, but I’m backing Osaka’s power and experience to get her through. Naomi Osaka to WIN @ 68¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1119762 #nfa”
▸Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka v Adolfo VallejoJiri Lehecka -3.5 games @ 54¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+85%win
“Jiri Lehecka vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo My pick: Jiri Lehecka -3.5 Games @ 54¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1125314 Lehecka has the bigger game on hard courts and has been solid in Tokyo. Vallejo deserves credit for beating Berrettini, but I expect Lehecka’s power to create enough separation to cover the -3.5. #nfa”
Posted
Sun, 04 Oct 2026 09:52:28 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Jiri Lehecka -3.5 games.
“Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev My pick: Alex de Minaur to WIN @ 53¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1123841 De Minaur has been grinding through these matches and I trust his consistency more in this matchup. Rublev has had a demanding run too, so at 53¢ I’m taking the Australian. #nfa”
