LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #45 · Season 2
Combo · 2 legs
42.24¢ · win pays +1.37u
Said · before resolutionOct 7, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1143718 My pick: Coleman Wong +1.5 Sets @ 64¢ Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto My pick: Rei Sakamoto Win @ 66¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1143721 Wong has been playing well through qualifying and already picked up wins over Cruz Hewitt and Lloyd Harris in Shanghai. Sakamoto is the more aggressive leg, but his hard court form and recent qualifying wins give me confidence against Trungelliti. #combo #nfa
greenedgeok in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1 · decided the comboLostColeman Wong +1.5 sets @ 64¢Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys v Coleman Wong
- Starts
- Entry
- 64¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong"; entry is the caller's stated 64¢; the order book at the post moment reads 66¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 66.0¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 7, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1143718 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Coleman Wong" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
- Leg 2WonRei Sakamoto @ 66¢Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marco Trungelliti v Rei Sakamoto
- Starts
- Entry
- 66¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto"; entry is the caller's stated 66¢: the ask printed at the post moment (61¢, 13s away) read 61¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; the mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post) read 60.5¢ while the tape was paying 61¢ 13s from the post; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 61¢ 13s from the post, within a cent of the entry - Result
- won · Oct 7, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1143721 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto" outcome "Rei Sakamoto" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
42.24¢
64¢ × 66¢ = 42.24¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 42.24 − 1 = +1.37u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 7, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Coleman Wong +1.5 sets", Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys v Coleman Wong): gamma POLY-1143718 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Coleman Wong" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 6 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.