LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #38 · Season 2
Combo · 2 legs
39.53¢ · win pays +1.53u
Said · before resolutionOct 6, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
Tennis Prediction Shanghai Masters 2 Pick Combo https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138094 Mattia Bellucci vs Alexandre Muller My pick: Mattia Bellucci Win @ 67¢ L Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans My pick: Dane Sweeny Win 59¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138092 Bellucci comes in with the higher ranking and already beat Muller in their most recent meeting, while Sweeny also won his opening Shanghai qualifier and has the ranking edge over Coppejans. #combo #nfa
greenedgeok in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1WonMattia Bellucci @ 67¢Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci v Alexandre Muller
- Starts
- Entry
- 67¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexandre Muller"; hindsight guard cleared by the order book at post time (66.5¢, 14s old); the mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post) read 66.5¢ while the tape was paying 67¢ 20s from the post; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 67¢ 20s from the post, within a cent of the entry - Result
- won · Oct 6, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1138094 "Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexandre Muller" outcome "Mattia Bellucci" price 1 uma=resolved closed=true
- Leg 2 · decided the comboLostDane Sweeny @ 59¢Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Dane Sweeny v Kimmer Coppejans
- Starts
- Entry
- 59¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans"; hindsight guard cleared by the order book at post time (58.5¢, 12s old); entry is the caller's stated 59¢; the order book at the post moment reads 58.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 58.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- lost · Oct 6, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1138092 "Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans" outcome "Dane Sweeny" price 0 uma=resolved closed=true
39.53¢
67¢ × 59¢ = 39.53¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 39.53 − 1 = +1.53u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 6, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 2: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 2 ("Dane Sweeny", Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Dane Sweeny v Kimmer Coppejans): gamma POLY-1138092 "Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans" outcome "Dane Sweeny" price 0 uma=resolved closed=true; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 4 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.