LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #37 · Season 2
Combo · 2 legs
53.04¢ · win pays +0.89u
Said · before resolutionOct 6, 2026 · timestamped in Discord
Tennis Combo Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova My pick: Linda Noskova Win 68¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1130111 Noskova has the game to make this a tough matchup, and I like her chances to control the exchanges and get the win. Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka My pick: Carlos Alcaraz Win 78¢ Alcaraz brings the higher level and should have enough firepower and consistency to get through Lehecka. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1138090 #combo #nfa
greenedgeok in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Entered · 2 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
- Leg 1 · decided the comboLostLinda Noskova @ 68¢China Open: Linda Noskova v Ekaterina Alexandrova
- Starts
- Entry
- 68¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 1: event "China Open: Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova"; hindsight guard cleared by the order book at post time (48.5¢, 45s old); entry is the caller's stated 68¢: the ask printed at the post moment (49¢, 3s away) read 49¢, better odds than claimed, and a call never pays more than the caller stated; the mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post) read 48.5¢ while the tape was paying 49¢ 3s from the post; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 49¢ 3s from the post, within a cent of the entry - Result
- lost · Oct 6, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1130111 "China Open: Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova" outcome "Linda Noskova" price 0 uma=resolved closed=true
- Leg 2WonCarlos Alcaraz @ 78¢Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz v Jiri Lehecka
- Starts
- Entry
- 78¢ (the price stated in the message, at or above the ask: the worse price stands)
How it was priced
leg 2: event "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka"; entry is the caller's stated 78¢; the order book at the post moment reads 76.5¢ (mid at post time (ask unrecoverable this long after the post)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 76.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post - Result
- won · Oct 6, 2026
Verification details
gamma POLY-1138090 "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka" outcome "Carlos Alcaraz" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
53.04¢
68¢ × 78¢ = 53.04¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 53.04 − 1 = +0.89u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.
ResolvedOct 6, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 1: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 1 ("Linda Noskova", China Open: Linda Noskova v Ekaterina Alexandrova): gamma POLY-1130111 "China Open: Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova" outcome "Linda Noskova" price 0 uma=resolved closed=true; the remaining legs no longer matter
Counts toward Season 2: combo 3 of 15 in week 1, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.
How a combo scores
- One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
- Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
- A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
- A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
- Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.