Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

China Open: Qinwen Zheng v Elina Svitolina

Said · before resolutionOct 9, 07:12 UTC · timestamped in Discordevent started Oct 9, 07:00 UTC

“Elina Svitolina vs Qinwen Zheng My pick: Elina Svitolina -2.5 Games @ 49¢ https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1148992 Svitolina has looked sharp in Beijing, bringing consistency and strong court coverage into this quarterfinal. Zheng is a dangerous opponent, especially on home soil, so it won’t be straightforward, but I’m backing Svitolina to win by at least three games. #nfa”

Ggreenedgeok in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Elina Svitolina -2.5 games @ 98¢

flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way

Entry 98¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 49¢, but that price was not there to buy.

ResolvedOct 9, 09:02 UTC · market settlement

Lost: the market resolved against this pick.

-1.00uat a 1-unit stake

Not counted: no real market: nothing has traded here (the book quotes 9¢ against 98¢ and the price is still the untraded placeholder), so the entry cannot be tested against anything

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4719), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.