JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
yes for 65-89
ENTRY
87¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@orange_smoke
PLACED
2026-10-24 · 12:27 UTC
Nº 0006174R
LOSS
-100%
334302576892
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #6174 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started
“Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026? taking yes for 65-89 @87c elon has not been tweeting much at these hours recently so under 12 tweets in next 3 hours looks good #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1218521”
orange_smoke in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
yes for 65-89 @ 87¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
- Message id
1563529334302576892open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1218521jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1218521 "65-89" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#6174), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- Traded on Jupiter
- Starts
- Ask at post
- yes for 65-89 @ 87¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement
More from orange_smoke
Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026?yes for 115-139 · Oct 10, 2026@ 18¢LOSS