Season 2: rules & prizes · JupCallers

Live

October 1 00:00 UTC through October 31 23:59 UTC. The board starts from zero for everyone; Season 1’s standings and rules stay on the Season 1 page.

Prizes

Prize pool to be announced

Scoring

Unchanged from the main board: flat 1u per call, wins pay implied odds, losses count −1u, ranked by season profit.

Qualify: at least 10 resolved calls in the season.
Weekly cap: your first 30 calls of each season week count and later ones don’t. Weeks reset every Thursday 00:00 UTC (week 1 Oct 1 to Oct 8, week 5 Oct 29 to season end). You always know at posting time whether a call counts.
Entry band: counted calls enter between 10¢ and 90¢. Below 10¢ doesn’t count (it caps any single win at +9u); above 90¢ doesn’t count (near-certainties don’t pad qualification).
One claim counts once (Aug 9): calls that can no longer grade differently are the same claim. Once a best-of-3 stands 1-0, the game-2 winner, the 2.5 total and the ±1.5 handicap are one coin; the first posted counts, and later ones are still listed with “same claim as #N” on the receipt. Calls that can grade differently all count, even on the same game: ML vs −1.5 (a 2-1 splits them), totals, props, and mutually exclusive brackets (a spread, not a double). Decided from market structure at the moment the call is listed; results never enter into it.
Combos (Season 2): tag a message #combo to back 2 to 6 picks on different fixtures as one 1u position. Each leg is priced at the moment of the post like a single (the order-book ask; a price you write can only make it worse) and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢, so a win pays at most about +9u; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as any leg loses and wins when the last leg wins. A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week (resets Thursday 00:00 UTC); each is one of your 30 weekly calls and counts toward the 10 you need to qualify. Combos cannot be closed early. 7 or more legs, or a price outside the bands, is recorded with its receipt but does not count. How to post one.
Cutoff: a call counts for the season its match started in. A match that started before Oct 31, 23:59 UTC counts even if it settled after the close, as long as the result is in by Nov 2, 23:59 UTC (the dispute window). A call posted on the season’s last day on a match that starts after the close counts toward no season. A call posted before the last day on a match after the close counts toward no season. Markets without a start time must resolve by the close. Voids and refunds grade 0u.
Market scope: event markets on Jupiter only. Rapid-cycle up/down markets (like Bitcoin Up/Down 15m) don’t count: markets that resolve every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap and the qualification bar with coin flips in a single evening.
Reads (community vote Sep 1, 94% · live Sep 2): a call is listed only with your own reasoning, 15 or more words about the matchup. Missing it, the call waits and you have 5 minutes to add the read (edit your message or reply under it); later than that needs a human ruling.
Early exits (community vote Sep 1, 86% · live Sep 2): post #close (reply to your call or name the side) to close a position at the market price at that moment; it grades on realized PnL. Five accepted closes per caller per week. The close allowance keeps its own clock: it resets Wednesdays 10:00 UTC, not with the season week. A profitable close within 30 minutes of the call scores 0, a scratch; a losing close always counts, at any time.
Disputes: grading follows official market resolution, with a 48-hour dispute window after grading. Corrections are published, never silent.

How to make a call

Any format works for the pick itself. Post in #prediction-alpha-nfa with the #nfa tag (same message, or your own message within 5 minutes), state your side (“Badosa W 66c”, “taking Ruud at 72c”, handicaps like “Zverev -1.5 set 72c” all parse), and write your read: your own reasoning, 15 or more words about the matchup. No tag means no call, and since Sep 2 no read means the call is not listed, however good the take.

The jup.ag market link is recommended but not required: it pins your exact market. If you skip it, the system searches Jupiter for the market itself. If more than one market fits, the call waits in review until a link clears it up.

Your entry is the ask on the Jupiter order book at the moment you posted: the price the buy button actually charges, not the midpoint between bid and ask. On a wide spread those differ a lot, and the midpoint is not a price anyone can trade at. A price you write in the message stays visible on the receipt and is noted when it differs, but the market decides the entry: quoting odds from elsewhere cannot improve your record. A call posted once the outcome is already decided is never listed at all.