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← Leaderboard/Call #4909
JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026?
yes for 115-139
ENTRY
18¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@orange_smoke
PLACED
2026-10-10 · 15:05 UTC
Nº 0004909R
LOSS
-100%
690961854644
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #4909 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026?

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026? Taking yes for 115-139 @18c Been super erratic with his tweets lately and hitting some high numbers this seems very possible #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1137875”

orange_smoke in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
yes for 115-139 @ 18¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
Message id
1558495690961854644 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1137875 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026?"; entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (15.2¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
Graded via
gamma POLY-1137875 "115-139" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4909), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

orange_smoke
did not qualify · season 2
Profile →
-4u
profit
0–4
record
4
graded
form · last 10
The market
Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026?
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Jupiter trade
Traded on Jupiter
Starts
Ask at post
yes for 115-139 @ 18¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)