Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego v Moise Kouame
“We go agane! Fok it! Super Hyper Mega Risky don't follow <:kekcat:1239862927398277180> ATP250 - Lyon Open 🇫🇷 Phase: Main Draw Risk: 🔴 Super High Risk Pick: 🇮🇹 L. Sonego @ 60c Pick: 🇮🇹 L. Sonego -1.5 @ 41c Reason: Sonego’s edge is the first-serve points won and the hold rate. He takes the ball early and the higher first-serve points won (73.1%) plus the 82.4% hold are the numbers that decide service games on indoor hard. Kouame needs the second serve to sit up and the points to extend past nine shots so his 10+ rally edge can show up. Indoor hard rewards the player who holds more consistently against the return, and Sonego’s gaps on hold and break rate sit well outside the noise. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1208076”
Verification details
- Message id
1561770941841932314open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1208076jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame"; second pick in the same message: "L. Sonego -1.5"; entry checked against the trade tape: entry 41¢ -> 60¢, the market's bid was 38¢ at the post moment, so nothing could be bought below it (caller stated 60¢) (14s before the post); CORRECTED 2026-10-22: entry 60 -> 41: the tape heal read the message's FIRST price (60c, the other pick "L. Sonego @ 60c") as this leg's stated price; this pick was "L. Sonego -1.5 @ 41c", above the 38c bid at the post, so the boarded 41c stands (a loss either way)
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1208076 "Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Lorenzo Sonego" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
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- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Lorenzo Sonego -1.5 sets @ 41¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement