Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego v Moise Kouame
“We go agane! Fok it! Super Hyper Mega Risky don't follow <:kekcat:1239862927398277180> ATP250 - Lyon Open 🇫🇷 Phase: Main Draw Risk: 🔴 Super High Risk Pick: 🇮🇹 L. Sonego @ 60c Pick: 🇮🇹 L. Sonego -1.5 @ 41c Reason: Sonego’s edge is the first-serve points won and the hold rate. He takes the ball early and the higher first-serve points won (73.1%) plus the 82.4% hold are the numbers that decide service games on indoor hard. Kouame needs the second serve to sit up and the points to extend past nine shots so his 10+ rally edge can show up. Indoor hard rewards the player who holds more consistently against the return, and Sonego’s gaps on hold and break rate sit well outside the noise. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1208076”
Verification details
- Message id
1561770941841932314open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1208076jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame"; second pick in the same message: "L. Sonego -1.5"; entry 62¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 60¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1208076 "Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame" outcome "Lorenzo Sonego" price 0.025 uma=proposed closed=false
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- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Lorenzo Sonego @ 62¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement