JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
yes for 85000
ENTRY
76¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@orange_smoke
PLACED
2026-10-09 · 15:21 UTC
Nº 0004778R
LOSS
-100%
370623352904
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #4778 · Season 2
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discord
“What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Taking yes for 85000 @76c Saylor buying knocked the bullishness out of me briefly but still think BTC has a good chance of revisiting monthly high #NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1112205”
orange_smoke in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
yes for 85000 @ 76¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
- Message id
1558137370623352904open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1112205jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "What price will Bitcoin hit in October?"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1112205 "↑ 85,000" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; hindsight guard cleared by order book at post time (0.755, 14s old)
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4778), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
The market
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Ask at post
- yes for 85000 @ 76¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement
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