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← Open calls/Combo #475
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #475 · Season 2

Combo · 4 legs

25.44¢ · win pays +2.93u

Said · before resolutionOct 26, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. LoL: Team Liquid v Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage: Anyone's Legend (Game 1) 2. LoL: T1 v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: T1 3. LoL: LOS v Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage: Team Secret Whales (Game 1) 4. LoL: Karmine Corp v Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage: Bilibili Gaming Reasoning: LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Swiss Stage Anyone's Legend is the LPL's top seed and Split 3 champion, and it has the higher ceiling in a best-of-three than the LCS #1 Team Liquid. Both teams are 0-2, but AL lost to Karmine Corp and Top Esports, while Liquid lost to CFO and Bilibili. I expect AL's better draft depth to decide it. Picking Anyone's Legend LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage T1 has the stronger international track record and the experience to handle high-pressure games at Worlds. Their team-fighting, objective control, and ability to punish mistakes give them an advantage in a best-of-one. CFO can challenge them if they find a strong draft and gain an early lead, but I trust T1's experience and consistency to secure the win. Picking T1 LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs Mental Rush (BO5) - LGC Rising Playoffs Vitality Rising Bees have the potential to take this series through stronger team coordination, disciplined objective control, and consistent team fighting. In a best-of-five, draft adaptation and the ability to adjust between games become especially important. Mental Rush can make the series competitive, but I lean toward Vitality Rising Bees if they maintain their composure and execute their team compositions effectively. Picking Vitality Rising Bees LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Team Secret Whales have the edge because of their experience in the Vietnamese competitive scene and #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

theralphhi on community.jup.ag
Entered · 4 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Lost
    Anyone's Legend (Game 1) @ 66¢
    LoL: Team Liquid v Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
    Starts
    Entry
    66¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 66¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 26, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1249645 "Game 1 Winner" outcome "Anyone's Legend" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    T1 @ 89¢
    LoL: T1 v CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
    Starts
    Entry
    89¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 89¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (88¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
    Result
    won · Oct 26, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1249643 "Match Winner" outcome "T1" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    Team Secret Whales (Game 1) @ 61¢
    LoL: LOS v Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
    Starts
    Entry
    61¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 61¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 26, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1249644 "Game 1 Winner" outcome "Team Secret Whales" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Won
    Bilibili Gaming @ 71¢
    LoL: Karmine Corp v Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
    Starts
    Entry
    71¢
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 71¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 26, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1249642 "Match Winner" outcome "Bilibili Gaming" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
25.44¢

66¢ × 89¢ × 61¢ × 71¢ = 25.44¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 25.44 − 1 = +2.93u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 26, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("Team Secret Whales (Game 1)", LoL: LOS v Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage): gamma POLY-1249644 "Game 1 Winner" outcome "Team Secret Whales" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

theralphhi
did not qualify · season 2
Profile →
-0.61u
profit
2–2
record
4
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.