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← Open calls/Combo #456
LOSTPredictions · ComboCombo #456 · Season 2

Combo · 5 legs

15.46¢ · win pays +5.47u

Said · before resolutionOct 26, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

1. Wizards v Hornets: Hornets 2. Timberwolves v Cavaliers: Cavaliers 3. Mavericks v Heat: Heat 4. Warriors v Nuggets: Nuggets 5. Bulls v Celtics: Celtics Reasoning: NBA: Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets Charlotte has beaten Washington four straight times, including 129-112 and 119-115 last season, and it is back at home. The Hornets are also the better scoring team and are favoured by about two points. I expect them to extend the streak. Picking Hornets NBA: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers Cleveland is at home, where its big front line has been a problem for Minnesota, and the Cavs beat them 146-134 here last January. Minnesota is unbeaten, but it is playing a fourth game in about a week on the road, and the books have Cleveland as a 3.5-point favourite. I like the Cavs at home. Picking Cavaliers NBA: Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Miami is at home and still looking for its first win, and the Heat are favoured by about 8 points for a reason. Dallas has allowed 118 points per game and has been inconsistent on the road, while Miami has been losing close games. I expect Miami to get its first win. Picking Heat NBA: Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Golden State is 0-3, allowing about 123 points per game, and it has lost eight straight visits to Denver. The Nuggets have Jokic and Murray in good form and win the rebounding battle by a wide margin, about 52 per game. I expect Denver to win at home. Picking Nuggets NBA: Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics Chicago is shooting just 22.6% from three, allowing 47.5% shooting and giving up about 48 rebounds per game, and it just lost 124-120 to Washington #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)

raabkaa on community.jup.ag
Entered · 5 legseach leg at the order-book ask when posted, or the caller’s stated price if that is worse
  1. Leg 1Won
    Hornets @ 54¢
    Wizards v Hornets
    Starts
    Entry
    54¢
    How it was priced
    leg 1: event "Wizards vs. Hornets"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 54¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 27, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1220869 "Wizards vs. Hornets" outcome "Hornets" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  2. Leg 2Won
    Cavaliers @ 60¢
    Timberwolves v Cavaliers
    Starts
    Entry
    60¢
    How it was priced
    leg 2: event "Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 60¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: only a bid print (58¢) inside 20s of the post, and the entry is not below it
    Result
    won · Oct 27, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1220870 "Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers" outcome "Cavaliers" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  3. Leg 3 · decided the comboLost
    Heat @ 76¢
    Mavericks v Heat
    Starts
    Entry
    76¢
    How it was priced
    leg 3: event "Mavericks vs. Heat"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 76¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    lost · Oct 27, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1220872 "Mavericks vs. Heat" outcome "Heat" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  4. Leg 4Lost
    Nuggets @ 73¢
    Warriors v Nuggets
    Starts
    Entry
    73¢
    How it was priced
    leg 4: event "Warriors vs. Nuggets"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 74¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: entry 74¢ -> 73¢, the tape paid 73¢ at the post moment (1s after the post)
    Result
    lost · Oct 27, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1222278 "Warriors vs. Nuggets" outcome "Nuggets" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
  5. Leg 5Won
    Celtics @ 86¢
    Bulls v Celtics
    Starts
    Entry
    86¢
    How it was priced
    leg 5: event "Bulls vs. Celtics"; submitted on community.jup.ag; entry 86¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
    Result
    won · Oct 27, 2026
    Verification details
    gamma POLY-1220871 "Bulls vs. Celtics" outcome "Celtics" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false; resolution confirmed
    Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)
15.46¢

54¢ × 60¢ × 76¢ × 73¢ × 86¢ = 15.46¢; a win pays 100 ÷ 15.46 − 1 = +5.47u at a flat 1-unit stake, and a loss is −1u.

ResolvedOct 27, 2026 · market settlement
Lost on leg 3: the remaining legs no longer matter. Settled by the markets’ official resolution.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
lost on leg 3 ("Heat", Mavericks v Heat): gamma POLY-1220872 "Mavericks vs. Heat" outcome "Heat" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false; the remaining legs no longer matter

Counts toward Season 2: combo 2 of 15 in week 4, one of the caller’s 30 calls that week.

raabkaa
rank #29 · season 2
Profile →
-2.7u
profit
9–9
record
18
graded
form · last 10
How a combo scores
  • One 1u position on 2 to 6 legs, each on a different fixture.
  • Each leg is priced at the order-book ask when posted, or at the price the caller wrote if that is worse, and must be 10¢ to 90¢. The combo price is the legs multiplied together and must be 10¢ to 90¢.
  • A win pays 100 ÷ price − 1; a loss is −1u. It loses as soon as a leg loses and wins when the last leg wins.
  • A void leg drops out and the combo is repriced; with one leg left it grades as that single. Every leg void is 0u.
  • Up to 15 combos count per caller per season week, each one of the 30 weekly calls and one toward qualifying. Combos cannot be closed early.