Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie v Daniil Medvedev
“Pick: Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Reasoning: Medvedev takes it early off the return and wins more of the short and middle points. Norrie takes it early and looks to hold with the second ball. Indoor hard makes the second serve harder to attack, which helps the player who already holds at a higher rate (Medvedev at 85.3%). If Medvedev’s first serve looks like the 64.2% he posts, he can keep the service games clean and create more breaks. If it sits and the return looks like the 36.8% Norrie posts, a set becomes live. The 27.5% break versus 20.6% is the gap that decides most of these matches. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Verification details
- Submission id
1565297563668792679(submitted on this site, not posted in Discord)- Market
POLY-1272846jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- submitted on community.jup.ag; event "Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev"; entry 61¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1272846 "Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Daniil Medvedev" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
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- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Daniil Medvedev -1.5 sets @ 61¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement