Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery v Lorenzo Musetti
“Pick: Lorenzo Musetti -1.5 Reasoning: Musetti takes it early and wins more of the short points. Fery takes it early and looks to stretch the middle rallies. Indoor hard makes the second serve harder to attack, which helps the player who already holds at a higher rate (Musetti at 82.9%). If Musetti’s first serve looks like the 64.7% he posts, he can keep the service games clean and create more breaks. If it sits and the rallies go to four or five shots the way Fery wants, a set becomes live. The 24.1% break versus 22.0% is a small gap, but it is the one that decides most of these matches when the hold numbers are this close. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Verification details
- Submission id
1565297311384872209(submitted on this site, not posted in Discord)- Market
POLY-1272849jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- submitted on community.jup.ag; event "Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti"; entry 50¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1272849 "Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Lorenzo Musetti" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
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- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Lorenzo Musetti -1.5 sets @ 50¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement