Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar v Daniil Medvedev
“Pick: Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Reasoning: Medvedev arrives with the much higher hold percentage, the stronger first-serve numbers, the higher dominance ratio, and the only prior meeting. Merida Aguilar arrives with a slight return and break edge and small advantages in the longer exchanges. Indoor hard rewards the cleaner hold. If Medvedev’s first serve looks like the last-52 sample, he should control the majority of his service games and create enough free points to come through. If the first serve sits and Merida Aguilar returns at the higher end of his sample, the match lengthens. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Verification details
- Submission id
1564804268262970789(submitted on this site, not posted in Discord)- Market
POLY-1250676jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- submitted on community.jup.ag; event "Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev"; entry 49¢ from the order-book ask at submit; final at submit: the price the caller confirmed on the form
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1250676 "Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5" outcome "Daniil Medvedev" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
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- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Jupiter trade
- No Jupiter trade found in linked wallets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Daniil Medvedev -1.5 sets @ 49¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement