Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune v Quentin Halys
“Pick: Quentin Halys Reasoning: | 🔴 Super High Risk | Halys arrives with the bigger serve, the higher hold rate, and the better return numbers in the last 52 matches. Rune arrives with a higher first-serve percentage and an edge in the middle and longer rallies, but he is still working back from a long injury stop. Indoor hard sits the second serve up less and rewards the player who holds more consistently. If Halys’s first serve looks like the 79.8% points won from the last 52, he should control the majority of his service games and limit Rune’s break opportunities. If the first serve sits and Rune can extend points the way the rally patterns suggest, the match lengthens. The fitness question after the layoff makes the longer exchanges less reliable for Rune than the raw numbers indicate. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Verification details
- Submission id
1564195718470164217(submitted on this site, not posted in Discord)- Market
POLY-1250708jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- submitted on community.jup.ag; event "Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys"; entry 50¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1250708 "Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys" outcome "Quentin Halys" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
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- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Quentin Halys @ 50¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement