Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Daniel Altmaier
“Pick: Daniel Altmaier Reasoning: Altmaier’s edge is the first-serve percentage from the recent hard-court matches. He takes the ball early and has landed more first serves in Lyon and in the Basel qualifier. Cerundolo’s edge is the break rate and the middle lengths from the last 52 matches. The hold numbers are almost even overall. On a faster indoor hard, the first-serve percentage decides more service games than the overall break rate. Cerundolo needs the second serve to sit and the points to stay in the middle lengths. Altmaier needs the first serve to land the way it has this week. #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
Verification details
- Submission id
1563786991803790260(submitted on this site, not posted in Discord)- Market
POLY-1247006jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- submitted on community.jup.ag; event "Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier"; entry 52¢ from the order-book ask at post time; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1247006 "Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier" outcome "Daniel Altmaier" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
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- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Daniel Altmaier @ 52¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement