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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili v Adrian Mannarino
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Set 2)
ENTRY
53¢
RESULT
+89%
CALLER
@snk
PLACED
2026-10-23 · 07:29 UTC
Nº 0006052R
WIN
+89%
950322585663
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #6052 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili v Adrian Mannarino

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“ATP250 - Almaty 🇰🇿 Game: 🇬🇪 N. Basilashvili x 🇫🇷 A. Mannarino Pick: 🇬🇪 N. Basilashvili Set 2 Win @ 53c Reason: Basilashvili’s edge is the hold, the first-serve points won, and the break rate. He takes the ball early and the higher hold (81.4% vs 76.2%) and first-serve points won (78.1% vs 70.3%) are the numbers that decide service games indoors. Mannarino’s edge is the first-serve in and the lefty angle. He takes it early and the higher first-serve in (62.9% vs 55.0%) can keep sets live if Basilashvili’s first-serve percentage drops. https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1230530 Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term. #nfa”

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Set 2) @ 53¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Nikoloz Basilashvili (Set 2).
+0.89uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 53 − 1)
Verification details
Message id
1563091950322585663 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1230530 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino"; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 53¢ 3s from the post, within a cent of the entry
Graded via
gamma POLY-1230530 "Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner" outcome "Nikoloz Basilashvili" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#6052), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
The market
Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili v Adrian Mannarino
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Set 2) @ 53¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)