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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli v Stan Wawrinka
Flavio Cobolli
ENTRY
75¢
RESULT
+33%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-10-22 · 17:06 UTC
Nº 0006016R
WIN
+33%
852254285894
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #6016 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli v Stan Wawrinka

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Tennis: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka (BO3) Reasoning: Gemini and Grok align closely here On Cobolli’s ranking age and athletic gear Clear edges versus Wawrinka’s limited consistency At forty-one and ranked one forty-two you see Both predicting straight sets for he ChatGPT is the outlier driven by uncertainty Of fixture and tournament clay history Versus claimed indoor rather than form free So discounted as market anchors the blend Thin Wawrinka data and missing round end Keep confidence moderate as we contend For Flavio Cobolli the pick we defend Match winner Flavio Cobolli @65c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1230527”

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Flavio Cobolli @ 75¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 75¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 65¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Flavio Cobolli.
+0.33uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 75 − 1)
Verification details
Message id
1562874852254285894 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1230527 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka"; entry 75¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 65¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Graded via
gamma POLY-1230527 "Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka" outcome "Flavio Cobolli" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#6016), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

surfmor
rank #30 · season 2
Profile →
-2.98u
profit
23–12
record
35
graded
form · last 10
The market
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli v Stan Wawrinka
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
Flavio Cobolli @ 75¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)