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← Leaderboard/Call #5784
JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Almaty Open: Rei Sakamoto v Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov
ENTRY
72¢
RESULT
+39%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-10-20 · 14:16 UTC
Nº 0005784R
WIN
+39%
197696122880
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #5784 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Almaty Open: Rei Sakamoto v Karen Khachanov

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Tennis: Rei Sakamoto vs Karen Khachanov (BO3) Reasoning: All three models strongly agree Khachanov is clear favorite (21-25% for Sakamoto) citing ranking gap (#27 vs #137), indoor-hard power serve/baseline edge, and experience; minor scoreline variance only. Market at 28.5% slightly higher but still underdog. No contradictions; youth upside for Sakamoto noted but insufficient vs pedigree. Blended lower than market on experience/surface dominance. Match winner Karen Khachanov @72c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1212794”

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Karen Khachanov @ 72¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Karen Khachanov.
+0.39uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 72 − 1)
Verification details
Message id
1562107197696122880 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1212794 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Almaty Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Karen Khachanov"; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 72¢ 7s from the post, within a cent of the entry
Graded via
gamma POLY-1212794 "Almaty Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Karen Khachanov" outcome "Karen Khachanov" price 0.9925 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5784), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

surfmor
rank #30 · season 2
Profile →
-2.98u
profit
23–12
record
35
graded
form · last 10
The market
Almaty Open: Rei Sakamoto v Karen Khachanov
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
Karen Khachanov @ 72¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)