Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Almaty Open: Zangar Nurlanuly v Tomas Machac
“Tennis: Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac (BO3) Reasoning: On indoor hard courts, Tomas Machac (#75, 770 points) holds an overwhelming tour-level and ball-striking advantage over 18-year-old home player Zangar Nurlanuly (#1354, 7 points), whose primary asset is home-court motivation. Because Nurlanuly is thinly known at the ATP tour level, this read is identifier-driven rather than scouted. Both identities and the Almaty Open R32 setting are confirmed from supplied data with no missing fields or recollection conflicts. My estimate diverges from the noisy 16.4% market midpoint (skewed by a wide 25.3pp spread) to reflect the massive tier gap and tight 4-5c order book. Match winner Tomas Machac @84c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1206110”
Verification details
- Message id
1561943315056689322open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1206110jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Almaty Open: Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac"; entry 96.4¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 84¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1206110 "Almaty Open: Zangar Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac" outcome "Tomas Machac" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5727), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Tomas Machac @ 96.4¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement