Almaty Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante v Facundo Acosta

“I mean... Diaz Acosta is out of his confort zone (clay), and even there Tirante have the lead... but for sure hes gonna fold one set now or even the game and fk me twice... don't ape please <:kekcat:1239862927398277180> ATP250 - Almaty 🇰🇿 Phase: Main Draw Risk: 🔴 Super High Risk Pick: 🇦🇷 T. Agustin Tirante -1.5 @ 53c Reason: Tirante arrives with the higher first-serve points won, the higher serve points won, the higher hold, the higher break rate, the higher return points won, the higher total points won, the higher ace percentage, the dominance ratio and the head-to-head. Diaz Acosta arrives with the higher first-serve in percentage. The statistical gaps that matter most are on the first-serve points won and the break. Tirante’s edge is the ability to finish the first serve and break. Diaz Acosta can still win if the first serve lands at a higher rate and he extends the long points the way the last-52 sample shows, but the first-serve points won and break edges make that harder to sustain over a full match. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1206111”

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