Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa v Katie Volynets
“Yeah... i was analysing stuff and i was afraid to call this pre-live because the odd felt unreal, and is WTA so i don't know what im doing <:kekcat:1239862927398277180> WTA 500 - Ningbo Open 🇨🇳 Phase: Qualification Risk: 🔴 Super High Risk Pick: 🇵🇱 K. Kawa Reason: Kawa arrives with the better return and break numbers. Volynets arrives with the higher first-serve in percentage and the previous hard-court win. Kawa’s edge is the return and the break. She takes the ball early and the numbers on break rate are the ones that decide service games. Volynets needs the first serve to land and the points to stay short, if the second serve sits up and the rallies develop, the gap becomes clear. The Guangzhou meeting went to three sets, and the full statistical profile still points one way. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1200358”
Verification details
- Message id
1560860175966015540open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1200358jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Ningbo Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets"; entry 38.4¢ from mid at post time (the book moved 6.1¢ between the post and capture, so the live ask is not the ask you saw); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 38¢ 3s from the post, within a cent of the entry
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1200358 "Ningbo Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets" outcome "Katarzyna Kawa" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
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- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Katarzyna Kawa @ 38.4¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement