Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii v Elina Avanesyan
“Tennis: Sayaka Ishii vs Elina Avanesyan (BO3) Reasoning: Gemini/Grok align near market (~20%) on Avanesyan's ranking edge (#155 vs #588) and return strength; ChatGPT's 49% is low-confidence outlier from surface/ID uncertainty. All note clay claim conflicts with Japan Open's hard courts. Discount clay-specific stats; home edge for Ishii insufficient. Blended to market-calibrated 21%. Match winner Elina Avanesyan @79c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1199093”
Verification details
- Message id
1560828828119728251open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1199093jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Elina Avanesyan"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1199093 "Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Elina Avanesyan" outcome "Elina Avanesyan" price 0.0045 uma=proposed closed=false
Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5491), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.
- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Elina Avanesyan @ 79¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement