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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki v Yosuke Watanuki
Yosuke Watanuki
ENTRY
56¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@snk
PLACED
2026-10-16 · 03:23 UTC
Nº 0005430R
LOSS
-100%
237599338617
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #5430 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki v Yosuke Watanuki

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Okay, this is a hard game to predict and im ready to lose, don't ape too much or reverse it <:kekcat:1239862927398277180> Challenger - Jinan 🇨🇳 Phase: Main Draw Risk: 🔴 Super High Risk Pick: 🇯🇵 Y. Watanuki @ 45c Reason: Watanuki’s edge is the first serve and the short point. He takes the ball early and ends more points when the serve lands. Mochizuki’s edge is the return in longer points. He takes the ball early and looks to extend once the rally starts. Hard sits the second serve up less than clay, which is the ball Watanuki already wins more of in these conditions. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1193562”

snk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Yosuke Watanuki @ 56¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 56¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 45¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
Message id
1560493237599338617 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1193562 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki"; entry 56¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 45¢); entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 56¢ 18s from the post, within a cent of the entry
Graded via
gamma POLY-1193562 "Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki" outcome "Yosuke Watanuki" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5430), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

snk
rank #26 · season 2
Profile →
-1.99u
profit
59–77
record
136
graded
form · last 10
The market
Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki v Yosuke Watanuki
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
Yosuke Watanuki @ 56¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)