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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Maia: Marco Trungelliti v Milos Karol
Marco Trungelliti
ENTRY
77¢
RESULT
+30%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-10-14 · 19:05 UTC
Nº 0005321R
WIN
+30%
753371099147
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #5321 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Maia: Marco Trungelliti v Milos Karol

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Tennis: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol (BO3) Reasoning: Gemini and Grok closely agree on ~78-81% and identical straight-sets score, both citing Trungelliti's large ranking/experience/clay edge over low-ranked Karol on indoor clay. Market at 76.5% aligns. Weaknesses (unknown round, thin Karol scouting, ranking volatility) noted but do not overturn tier gap. Blended slightly above market; no material disagreement to resolve. Match winner Marco Trungelliti @77c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1185394”

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Marco Trungelliti @ 77¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Marco Trungelliti.
+0.30uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 77 − 1)
Verification details
Message id
1560005753371099147 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1185394 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol"; entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Graded via
gamma POLY-1185394 "Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol" outcome "Marco Trungelliti" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5321), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

surfmor
rank #30 · season 2
Profile →
-2.98u
profit
23–12
record
35
graded
form · last 10
The market
Maia: Marco Trungelliti v Milos Karol
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
Marco Trungelliti @ 77¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)