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← Leaderboard/Call #5298
JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Santa Cruz 2: Nicolas Kicker v Facundo Mena
Facundo Mena
ENTRY
58¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-10-14 · 15:11 UTC
Nº 0005298R
LOSS
-100%
709163966485
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · ATPCall #5298 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Santa Cruz 2: Nicolas Kicker v Facundo Mena

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Tennis: Nicolas Kicker vs Facundo Mena (BO3) Reasoning: Both models and the market odds agree on Mena's lead, Ranked near one-ninety over three-forty-five indeed. Along the South American clay his sharpness plays a role, Though Kicker's peak clay pedigree keeps prices in control. Yet Kicker lacks sustained Challenger form to run the race, So Mena claims the baseline consistency in every space. Aligning with consensus on a close and hard-fought night, We favor Mena in three sets to win the competitive fight. Match winner Facundo Mena @54c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1186624”

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Facundo Mena @ 58¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 58¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 54¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
Message id
1559946709163966485 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1186624 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Santa Cruz 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Facundo Mena"; entry 58¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 54¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Graded via
gamma POLY-1186624 "Santa Cruz 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Facundo Mena" outcome "Facundo Mena" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5298), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

surfmor
rank #30 · season 2
Profile →
-2.98u
profit
23–12
record
35
graded
form · last 10
The market
Santa Cruz 2: Nicolas Kicker v Facundo Mena
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
Facundo Mena @ 58¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)