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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova v Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari
ENTRY
68¢
RESULT
+47%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-10-13 · 18:04 UTC
Nº 0005227R
WIN
+47%
958052716715
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · WTACall #5227 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova v Maria Sakkari

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Tennis: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari (BO3) Reasoning: Both models strongly agree that the market overvalues Pohankova's upset potential, highlighting the severe experience and physical baseline gap. Sakkari's elite court coverage, heavy groundstrokes, and return pressure against weak second serves present an overwhelming hurdle for the teenage junior. While Pohankova possesses dangerous first-serve power, her lack of tour-level reps and consistency gives Sakkari a decisive edge in prolonged rallies. Match winner Maria Sakkari @65c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1183437”

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Maria Sakkari @ 68¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 68¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 65¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Maria Sakkari.
+0.47uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 68 − 1)
Verification details
Message id
1559627958052716715 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1183437 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari"; entry 68¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 65¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Graded via
gamma POLY-1183437 "Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Maria Sakkari" outcome "Maria Sakkari" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5227), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

surfmor
rank #30 · season 2
Profile →
-2.98u
profit
23–12
record
35
graded
form · last 10
The market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova v Maria Sakkari
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
Maria Sakkari @ 68¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)