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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi v Leylah Fernandez
Leylah Fernandez
ENTRY
77¢
RESULT
+30%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-10-13 · 17:45 UTC
Nº 0005224R
WIN
+30%
130387972176
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · WTACall #5224 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi v Leylah Fernandez

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Tennis: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez (BO3) Reasoning: Both models strongly favor Fernandez, citing the massive disparity in WTA main-draw experience and ranking (top 30 vs #231). While market odds give Shi a slightly higher chance (23.5%) likely due to home-court familiarity during the Asian swing, Shi remains unproven at WTA 1000 level. Fernandez's baseline aggression and superior return capabilities should handle Shi comfortably despite occasional lapses in consistency. Match winner Leylah Fernandez @76c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1177833”

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Leylah Fernandez @ 77¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 77¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 76¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Leylah Fernandez.
+0.30uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 77 − 1)
Verification details
Message id
1559623130387972176 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1177833 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez"; entry 77¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 76¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Graded via
gamma POLY-1177833 "Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez" outcome "Leylah Fernandez" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#5224), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

surfmor
rank #30 · season 2
Profile →
-2.98u
profit
23–12
record
35
graded
form · last 10
The market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi v Leylah Fernandez
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
Leylah Fernandez @ 77¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)