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JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova v Caty McNally
Karolina Muchova
ENTRY
80¢
RESULT
+25%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-10-12 · 22:39 UTC
Nº 0005150R
WIN
+25%
707882360873
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
WINVerifiedPredictions · Tennis · WTACall #5150 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova v Caty McNally

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“Tennis: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally (BO3) Reasoning: Muchova's dominant serve-and-plus-one game and all-court variety on outdoor hard create a massive advantage over McNally, whose vulnerable serve (62.5% hold rate, 4.1 double faults per match) leaves her constantly under pressure. While McNally generates ample break chances, Muchova protects service games far more reliably. Both players are cleanly identified, though the tournament round is missing from supplied data. Matchup heavily favors Muchova's superior baseline power and consistency. Match winner Karolina Muchova @79c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1177831”

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
Karolina Muchova @ 80¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 80¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 79¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · market settlement
Won: the market resolved for Karolina Muchova.
+0.25uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 80 − 1)
Verification details
Message id
1559334707882360873 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Market
POLY-1177831 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally"; entry 80¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 79¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Graded via
gamma POLY-1177831 "Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Caty McNally" outcome "Karolina Muchova" price 0.995 uma=proposed closed=false

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surfmor
rank #30 · season 2
Profile →
-2.98u
profit
23–12
record
35
graded
form · last 10
The market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova v Caty McNally
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
Karolina Muchova @ 80¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)