Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs v Carlos Alcaraz

“ATP MASTERS 1000 - Shanghai 🇨🇳 Phase: Main Draw Risk: 🔴 Super High Risk Pick: 🇪🇸 C. Alcaraz @ 64c Reason: Alcaraz’s edge is the return and the break. He takes it early, the return is 41.3, and the break is 30.3. The gaps on hold, short points, and the middle rallies bands are big. The problem for Bergs is the hold he has put up, 81.2, against a return that just broke clean. Bergs’s edge is the ace when it lands. He takes it early and the ace rate is higher. The problem is the return and the short point, 36.7 on the return is the number that Alcaraz attacks, and 47.7 on the 1-3 rally is too low compared to Alcaraz. The Buse match was short on breaks. It was not a break of this return. The 21.4 break rate is the number Bergs has to live with. He cannot take Alcaraz’s serve often enough to make up for the points he loses once the rally starts. Alcaraz takes it early and wins the return and the short point. Bergs takes it early and needs the aces to land. If Alcaraz maintains the returns above 40% he should win in. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1165453”

Ssnk in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)