Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka v Rafael Jodar
“ATP MASTERS 1000 - Shanghai 🇨🇳 Phase: Main Draw Risk: 🔴 Super High Risk Pick: 🇨🇿 J. Lehecka Set 1 @ 57c Reason: Jodar’s edge is the return and the break. He takes it early, the return is 39.9, and the break is 29.0. Lehecka needs the first serve to land so the point ends before the return starts. The problem is the hold he has put up, 79.6, against a first ball that just held clean against Borges. The Tirante match already went the distance. The legs are the open question. Lehecka’s edge is the first strike and the hold. He takes it early, the hold is 88.2, and the first serve won is 76.2. The problem is the return and the short point. 34.6 on the return is the number the first ball attacks, and he loses the one-to-three point. The long rally is not his window. The Borges match already went the distance. Jodar takes it early and wins the return. Lehecka takes it early and needs the point to end. Shanghai sits the second serve up, which is the ball Jodar sees more of. If the return looks like the 39.9, Jodar should win. If the first serve lands the way it did against Borges, Lehecka will probably take a set. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1164084”
Verification details
- Message id
1559084079973138542open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1164084jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar"; "Jodar" in the text was not taken as a second pick: it carries no price while the pick does; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 57¢ 19s from the post, within a cent of the entry
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1164084 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar Set 1 Winner" outcome "Jiri Lehecka" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
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- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Ask at post
- Jiri Lehecka (Set 1) @ 57¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement