Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien v Casper Ruud

“ATP MASTERS 1000 - Shanghai 🇨🇳 Phase: Main Draw Risk: 🔴 Super High Risk Game: 🇳🇴 C. Ruud x 🇺🇸 L. Tien Pick: Over 21.5 @ 59c Reason: Ruud’s edge is the first strike and the hold. He takes it early, the hold is 85.7, and the short point is the one they play most. Tien needs the second ball to start his own finish. The Bu match went to a tiebreak and the body is fine. The problem for Tien is the hold he has put up, 80.9, against a first ball that just held clean. Tien’s edge is the longer point and the return. He takes it early, the break is 23.7, and the 10+ band is the one he owns. The problem is the short point and the hold. 48.2 on 1-3 rally shots is the number the first ball attacks, and 80.9 percent of service games is the number Ruud waits for. The Svajda match was short on breaks. It was not a break of this first ball. The 22.9 break rate is the number Ruud has to live with. He cannot take Tien’s serve often enough to make up for the points he loses once the rally starts. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1165451”

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