Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo v Jakub Mensik
“ATP MASTERS 1000 - Shanghai 🇨🇳 Phase: Main Draw Risk: 🔴 Super High Risk Game: 🇦🇷 F. Cerundolo x 🇨🇿 J. Mensik Pick: 🇦🇷 F. Cerundolo @ 52c Reason: Mensik's edge is the first strike. He takes it early, the hold is 83.8, and the short point is the one they play most. Cerundolo needs the second ball to start the topspin. The problem is the H2H, 3-0 for Cerundolo, 2 games in this same conditions at Beijing. The first ball did not end it. The topspin did. Cerundolo's edge is the topspin and the redirect. He takes the second ball, loads it, and the break rate is ten points higher. The problem is the hold and the short point. 76.9 percent of service games is the number the first ball attacks, and he loses the one-to-three point rally. The long rally is his best window. *Bet responsibly. In sports betting, you lose more than you win in the long term.* #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1158728”
Verification details
- Message id
1558769727747137558open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-1158728jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)- Capture note
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik"; entry is the caller's stated 52¢; the order book at the post moment reads 64¢ (the trade tape at post time (64¢, 109s away; the book quoted 51¢, which nobody was paying)), which is not a buyable ask, so the stated figure stands (the price-history mid at the post moment, 51.5¢, is within tolerance of the claim); the order book read 51¢ at boarding, 13.0¢ away from what this market actually traded at 109s from the post (64¢), so the trade is the price; entry checked against the trade tape: the tape paid 52¢ 5s from the post, within a cent of the entry
- Graded via
- gamma POLY-1158728 "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik" outcome "Francisco Cerundolo" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false
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- Venue
- Jupiter Prediction Markets
- Starts
- Caller’s price
- Francisco Cerundolo @ 52¢
- Resolution
- market’s official settlement