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← Leaderboard/Call #4851
JUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 2
VERIFIED CALL
FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München
ENTRY
85¢
RESULT
-100%
CALLER
@untalpotosino
PLACED
2026-10-10 · 08:05 UTC
Nº 0004851R
LOSS
-100%
896383827998
COMMUNITY.JUP.AG
LOSSVerifiedPredictionsCall #4851 · Season 2

Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.

FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München

Said · before resolution · timestamped in Discordevent started

“⚽️ FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München Pick: Bayern Win Bayern at 84c implies about 86% probability of winning and comes with three victories in its last four. It is a clear favorite, but that price leaves almost nothing of value in the winning line. Augsburg comes with two consecutive victories before its last stumble, so it is convenient to look for other markets, such as goals or handicap. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1089281”

untalpotosino in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later
FC Bayern München @ 85¢
flat 1-unit stake: every call on the board is scored the same way
Entry 85¢: the price the Buy button actually charged the moment the call was posted. The caller wrote 84¢, but that price was not there to buy.
Resolved · market settlement
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
-1.00uat a 1-unit stake
Verification details
Message id
1558389896383827998 open in Discord ↗ (opens in a new tab) (requires server membership)
Adjacent msgs
1558389053362147428 (#nfa tag / market link)
Market
POLY-1089281 jup.ag ↗ (opens in a new tab)
Capture note
auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München"; entry 85¢ from the order-book ask at post time (caller stated 84¢); entry checked against the trade tape: nothing traded inside 20s of the post
Graded via
gamma POLY-1089281 "FC Bayern München" outcome "Yes" price 0.0005 uma=proposed closed=false

Think this is wrong (misattributed, wrong entry, wrong grade, duplicate, not a call)? Say so in #prediction-alpha-nfa (opens in a new tab) and tag AG with this call id (#4851), within 48 hours of grading. Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.

untalpotosino
rank #14 · season 2
Profile →
+1.67u
profit
34–18
record
52
graded
form · last 10
The market
FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München
Venue
Jupiter Prediction Markets
Starts
Ask at post
FC Bayern München @ 85¢
Resolution
market’s official settlement
Open the market ↗ (opens in a new tab)