China Open: Katerina Siniakova v Elina Svitolina

Said · before resolutionOct 2, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“Tennis: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina (BO3) Reasoning: All models and the market converge tightly, pegging Siniakova between 23% and 26% (market 24.5%). The consensus highlights Svitolina's superior baseline consistency, return depth, and top-tier hard-court form against Siniakova's low hold rate and volatile singles serve. All models unanimously project an identical straight-sets scoreline. Anchoring near the market consensus at 24.5% appropriately accounts for Svitolina's commanding edge across baseline rallies and return metrics. Match winner Elina Svitolina @76c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1113130”

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Elina Svitolina @ 76¢

flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way

ResolvedOct 3, 2026 · market settlement

Won. Settled by the market’s official resolution.

+0.32uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 76 − 1)

Verification details

gamma POLY-1113130 "China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina" outcome "Elina Svitolina" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

surfmor

rank #12 · season 2

Profile →

+2.08u

profit

11–3

record

graded

form · last 10

The market

China Open: Katerina Siniakova v Elina Svitolina

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Ask at post: Elina Svitolina @ 76¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

Open the market ↗