China Open: Xinran Sun v Cristina Bucsa

Said · before resolutionOct 1, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“Tennis: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa (BO3) Reasoning: On outdoor hard, Bucsa (#44, 1164 pts, deep WTA experience) is the clear favorite over Sun (#577, 80 pts, 8 events), almost certainly a home wildcard with limited tour-level exposure. The ~533-spot gap dominates; Sun's edge is only crowd and nothing-to-lose freedom. Identity: Cristina Bucsa resolves cleanly to the Spaniard; Xinran Sun is a thinly-scouted young Chinese player, so this read is identifier-driven rather than scouted. Match winner Cristina Bucsa @74c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1114523”

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Cristina Bucsa @ 74¢

flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way

ResolvedOct 3, 2026 · market settlement

Lost. Settled by the market’s official resolution.

-1.00uat a 1-unit stake

Verification details

gamma POLY-1114523 "China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa" outcome "Cristina Bucsa" price 0.005 uma=proposed closed=false

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China Open: Xinran Sun v Cristina Bucsa

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Ask at post: Cristina Bucsa @ 74¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

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