Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Yi Zhou

Said · before resolutionSep 23, 2026 · timestamped in Discord

“Tennis: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou (BO3) Reasoning: All models favor Cerundolo based on his top-60 status against Zhou's lower Challenger rank (#273). However, batch analysis is discounted due to hallucinations regarding Grand Slam results. Cerundolo's heavy clay-court bias and lack of hard-court penetration give Zhou, playing on home soil in Chengdu, upset potential. Gemini and Claude correctly adjust for the surface disparity, aligning closely with market pricing (65.5%). Cerundolo's tour-level consistency should narrowly carry him through against an inexperienced opponent. Match winner Juan Manuel Cerundolo @66c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1058224”

surfmor in #prediction-alpha-nfaOriginal message ↗

Enteredthe ask at that moment, not a price typed later

Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 66¢

flat 1-unit stake — every call on the board is scored the same way

ResolvedSep 24, 2026 · market settlement

Won. Settled by the market’s official resolution.

+0.52uat a 1-unit stake (100 ÷ 66 − 1)

Verification details

gamma POLY-1058224 "Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou" outcome "Juan Manuel Cerundolo" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false

surfmor

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The market

Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Yi Zhou

Venue: Jupiter Prediction Markets
Ask at post: Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 66¢
Resolution: market’s official settlement

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