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theralphhiRising
@theralphhi · every call recorded, losses included
Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 3From-zero season record · Nov 1 to Nov 30 · earlier calls (including Season 2) at the bottom · Season 2 record
This week: 0 of 30 calls · 0 of 15 combos · resets Thursday 00:00 UTC (a pending call holds its slot)
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
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units · 0 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (0 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
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per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–0
none graded
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WW
W2 streak
Season equity curve
0 graded
The curve starts with the first graded call.
Season record (0)
No graded season calls yet. The record starts with the first graded call.
Past calls (2)
Earlier calls, including Season 2: see the Season 2 record and the Hall of Fame.
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports v G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group StageHanwha Life Esports (Game 1) @ 70¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+43%win
“Pick: Hanwha Life Esports (Game 1) Reasoning: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Swiss Stage Hanwha Life won MSI 2026 and is Riot's top-ranked team, and it swept G2 3-0 at that tournament, so it knows how to beat this roster. G2 is 1-2 after losing to Top Esports, and Fearless Draft rewards the deeper champion pool, which favours HLE over a best-of-three. I expect HLE to stay a…”
- Posted
- Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:53:44 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Hanwha Life Esports (Game 1).
Raptors v TimberwolvesTimberwolves @ 51¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+96%win
“Pick: Timberwolves Reasoning: NBA: Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Both teams are unbeaten, but Minnesota is at home and has the edge inside with Gobert protecting the rim. Edwards and Towns also create matchup problems for Toronto, so I lean to the Wolves in a tight one. Not sure it's a comfortable win. Picking Timberwolves #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:26:45 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Timberwolves.