Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 2From-zero season record (ended) · Oct 1 to Oct 31 · earlier calls (including Season 1) at the bottom · Season 1 record · Season 3 record
ProfitiEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
-0.22u
units · 3 priced calls
ROIiAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (3 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
-7.4%
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordiWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
2–1
67% of 3 (at least 21%)
FormiMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WLW
W1 streak
Sport
Record
Units
ROI
Graded
Other2
1–1
—
—
2 · under 3
Crypto1
1–0
—
—
1 · under 3
Season equity curve
3 graded
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, a step per call; pending calls never move the curve).
“Fed Decision in October? My call: The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged at its October 27–28 meeting. Following September's 25 bps hike, I think the Fed will take a wait-and-see approach rather than tighten policy at consecutive meetings. Recent labor market weakness gives policymakers some room to pause, even with inflation remaining elevated. Another rate hike later this year is…”
“WTI Crude Oil - October 2026 My call: NO on WTI reaching $100 before the end of October. WTI finished the week in the low $90s. While geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and potential supply disruptions remain significant risks, I think the recent easing of immediate escalation concerns could limit further upside. Oil would need a substantial move higher to reach $100, and I'm leaning towa…”
“BTC Prediction: October 2026 BTC has struggled to regain momentum following recent selling pressure. I think another move lower is possible before the end of October, especially if buyers fail to reclaim key resistance levels around $85K. Picking ↓ 80,000 (YES) @ $0.63c #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1112205”
