Back to the leaderboard
raabkaaRising
@raabkaa · every call recorded, losses included
Following also starts a paper tail from now, when you are signed in: every call from then on, one virtual unit, graded as the call grades. Private, never counted.
Season 3From-zero season record · Nov 1 to Nov 30 · earlier calls (including Season 2) at the bottom · Season 2 record · 1 Season 2 call on a match after its close counts here
This week: 1 of 30 calls · 0 of 15 combos · resets Thursday 00:00 UTC (a pending call holds its slot)
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; a call closed early counts what it actually realized.
—
units · 0 priced calls
ROIAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not. Beats the odds (0 calls): hit rate minus the hit rate the entry prices implied. Zero means the caller wins exactly as often as the market expected.
—
per call · vs odds needs 5 calls
RecordWins and losses over graded calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it. The lower number is the 95% confidence floor on the win rate given the sample. It rises as the sample grows.
0–0
none graded
FormMost recent graded calls, newest on the right. It reads the whole record, whatever the season, period or filter.
WLWWW
W3 streak
Season equity curve
0 graded
The curve starts with the first graded call.
Open calls (2)
Heat v ClippersHeat @ 66¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)now 65.5¢pending
“Pick: Heat Reasoning: NBA: Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Clippers Miami has Giannis and Bam Adebayo as its top two, a better star pairing than a Clippers team that has lost four in a row and is without Ingram, Beal, Strus and Jordan Miller. Picking Heat #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Tue, 03 Nov 2026 03:54:49 UTC
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming v Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffsnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the callGround Zero Gaming (Game 1) @ 85¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)now 44.5¢pending
“Pick: Ground Zero Gaming (Game 1) Reasoning: LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs Ground Zero already plays in the LCP, a tougher league than the PCS, and its Split 1 playoff run showed it can win best-of-fives against LCP opposition. Picking Ground Zero Gaming #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 13:02:04 UTC
Season record (3)
Thunder v Cavaliersnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the callThunder @ 40¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+150%win
“Pick: Thunder Reasoning: NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Oklahoma City starts the season 2-0 with the league's top defense of recent years, and its length makes Cleveland's drives harder than most teams do. Picking Thunder #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 07:38:53 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Thunder.
Celtics v Magicnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the callCeltics @ 70¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+43%win
“Pick: Celtics Reasoning: NBA: Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic Boston has won four in a row, averaging about 121 points per game and allowing only about 112, with Tatum scoring 27.6 and shooting 37% from three as a team. Picking Celtics #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 05:51:43 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Celtics.
Clippers v Warriorsnot counted: no Jupiter trade by 15 minutes after the callWarriors @ 54¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+85%win
“Pick: Warriors Reasoning: NBA: Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors Golden State has won three straight, scoring 112 or more in each win, and Curry has been in strong form this week at home. Picking Warriors #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 05:51:11 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Warriors.
Past calls (10)
Earlier calls, including Season 2: see the Season 2 record and the Hall of Fame.
LoL: LOS v LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageLYON (Game 1) @ 68¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: LYON (Game 1) Reasoning: LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Swiss Stage LYON has taken Gen.G and Invictus Gaming to three games, and its two wins came against Team Secret Whales and Karmine Corp. LOS has two straight 2-0 wins, but over Secret Whales and a Team Liquid side that was already winless, so LYON's schedule has been much harder. I lean LYON to reach the quarterfinals. Picking LYON #…”
- Posted
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 13:00:08 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
LoL: Karmine Corp v Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp (Game 1) @ 57¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+75%win
“Pick: Karmine Corp (Game 1) Reasoning: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Swiss Stage Karmine Corp just swept CFO 2-0 to stay alive, while Movistar KOI was swept 0-2 by T1 in its last series. Picking Karmine Corp #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:58:36 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Karmine Corp (Game 1).
Besiktas v Olympiacos B.C.Olympiacos B.C. @ 56¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+79%win
“Pick: Olympiacos B.C. Reasoning: EuroLeague: Beşiktaş vs Olympiacos B.C. Olympiacos B.C. is my pick because of its experience in high-pressure European games, disciplined half-court offense, and physical defense. Their ability to control rebounds, protect the paint, and create efficient scoring opportunities could be decisive against Beşiktaş. Beşiktaş can make this competitive with home-court en…”
- Posted
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 09:44:07 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Olympiacos B.C..
BC Dubai v Paris BasketballBC Dubai @ 58¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“Pick: BC Dubai Reasoning: EuroLeague: BC Dubai vs Paris Basketball BC Dubai have the advantage heading into this matchup, with a stronger 5–2 record compared with Paris Basketball's 1–6. Dubai have won their last three games and are performing well offensively, averaging around 85 points per game while allowing fewer than 84. Paris have struggled defensively, conceding around 91 points per game, …”
- Posted
- Tue, 27 Oct 2026 16:56:37 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Hawks v RocketsRockets @ 67¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+49%win
“Pick: Rockets Reasoning: NBA: Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets Houston is 3-0, has already beaten Atlanta once this week on the road, and now has home court. The Rockets have won four straight meetings and score about 121 points per game, with Durant as the main scorer. I expect them to win again. Picking Rockets #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Mon, 26 Oct 2026 04:15:42 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Rockets.
Pacers v NetsPacers @ 71¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+41%win
“Pick: Pacers Reasoning: Brooklyn is 0-2 and plays its second game in two nights after facing Cleveland on Saturday. Indiana has Haliburton, Siakam and Zubac in the starting five, and the Pacers are about 7-point favorites. Tired legs should show for the Nets late. Picking Pacers #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 05:09:31 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Pacers.
Lakers v JazzLakers @ 69¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+45%win
“Pick: Lakers Reasoning: NBA: Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz Utah has given up about 121 points per game and is missing Nurkic, while the Lakers won all four meetings last season. Doncic and Kessler should have a big night against that defense. Not sure the Jazz can keep up for 48 minutes. Picking Lakers #nfa #nfa (submitted on community.jup.ag)”
- Posted
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 05:05:25 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Lakers.
Nets v CavaliersCavaliers @ 83¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+20%win
“NBA: Nets vs. Cavaliers Cleveland is at home and has the deeper, more proven roster. Brooklyn is still rebuilding and has a rookie out injured, so I don't see them stealing this one on the road. Picking Cavaliers #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1208440”
- Posted
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 08:44:34 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Cavaliers.
Raptors v WizardsRaptors @ 76¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)+32%win
“NBA: Raptors vs. Wizards Toronto has the deeper and more experienced roster, while Washington is still young and inconsistent on defense. I trust the Raptors to be steadier in close moments. Picking Raptors #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1202604”
- Posted
- Fri, 23 Oct 2026 13:06:57 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Raptors.
Thunder v SpursSpurs @ 51¢Market ↗ (opens in a new tab)-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-1186925 Spurs to win #nfa Home court in San Antonio, and the matchup is close to a coin flip, so I'll take the home side.”
- Posted
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:34:25 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.